Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shiny Penny 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Seamialaugh 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Boca Royalty 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Sugar Streak 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Gavichi 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Knock Out Kid 3.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Lulinda’s Heart 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Miss Alex 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bailey 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hornbeam 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Jebologist 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Genghis 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Lazaretto 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Cousin Andrew 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Thiscatcanjump 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Chain Reaction 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bet On Drama 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Little Doyle 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Kindness Is Free 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Anacarava (IRE) 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Only Girl 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Cousin Marie 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 No Sugar Please 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wispering Springs 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sir Cupid 1.60 1.8 3-1
4 4 Vindicato 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Lucky Mucho Man 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Liberty Runner 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Duck Ducky Goose 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Tequila Jr 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Classy Union 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Emirates Affair 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Distorted View 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Majestic Creed 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Thegoddessofsnakes 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Catalon 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Warrior’s Ransom 3.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 A Ring Thing 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Castilleja 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kentucky Pride 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Pageant Princess 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Brummagem 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Rowsie Express 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Fast Breakin Cash 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 French Toast 10.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Dalton 6.00 1.8 3-1
13 13 Ron Don Scorese 5.00 2.6 5-1
15 15 Jacohare 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Amigos Guitar 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Commissioner G 8.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Mischievous Juan 12.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Unconquered Spirit 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ouch Ouch Ouch 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Boat’s a Rockin 1.80 SCRATCH
12 12 Colbaloaf 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sound the Charge 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Silipo 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wheresthepassion 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Brother Showtyme 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 One Eyed Jackie 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jody’s Ruby 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Jeanne Marie 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Bay Bay Birdie 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Ringer Card 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Normandy Life 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Saratoga Sweets 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Betsy Is the Gal 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 She’sabulletsteph 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Flagrunner 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Wild Creation 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Aoife’s Magic 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mia Tosca 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Out Dancing 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Golden Tabby 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Single Lady 4.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Peyton Elizabeth 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Cartouche 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Aegean Sea 15.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 In My Opinion 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Kisses for Emily 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Memento Mi 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 R Funny Bizness 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Too Boss 0 0-1
9 9 Far Mo Power 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Market Maven 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 King Kumbalay 12.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Irish Exit 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Too Boss 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Eloquist 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Shooger Ray Too 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Nostalgic Run 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Bird King 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Expensive Cut 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Little Harbour 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Manolete 4.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Osprey 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Rack Gin 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Nick the Cardshark 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 One Slick Start 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Jw’s Third Mischie 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Traders Luck 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Sophos 6.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Runningforhome 6.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.