Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Map 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Frac Tales 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Rookie Court 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Infinite Passion 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 War Vow 10.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Impossible Bertie 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Can’t Stop Me Now 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Brienne of Tarth 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Bikini 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Want to Go Dancing 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 My Assistant 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Legal Steps 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Spirit Belle 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Lulu’s Lullaby 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Silent Warning 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Halo Style 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 I’m a Cutie 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Gormley Girl 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Wake Up Maggie 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Absolute Jewel 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Stormy Suzie 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Practical Gizmo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jab 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Inscrutable 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Well Actually 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Crash the Crease 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 O Wow 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Strike the Pose 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Shebatown 10.00 7.7 14-1
7 7 La Princessa Polly 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hard to Capture 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Midnight Meadow 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Pino in a Purse 2.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Cedar Valley 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Miss Bobbit 6.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Oheavens 3.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 I’ll Take the Gold 8.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Anita Grigio 20.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Airy Fairy 15.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Mi Tormenta 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cardio Princess (JPN) 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Destinique 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Sparkle Sammy 12.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Indian Music 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Hello Friends 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Jill 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Stormy Silence 2.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Fearless Angel 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Adora 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Celtic Revival 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Hot Omelet 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Hekla’s Aura 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Lois 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 So Breanna 10.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Gav’s Dream Girl 12.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Lady in Red 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Bosskaye 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Turf and Surf 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ashlee’s Ring 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Cloudy Voyage 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sandy Grace 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Makayla 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 This One Can Run 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Smart Irene 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Kimono Kate 1.80 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.