Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 27, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Spending Plan 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 World Hero 3.50 4 8-1
8 8 Blue Blizzard 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Tdz Wavetothequeen 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Jasmines Jellybean 4.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Cinco Dos Adios Tee 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Blues Pride 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Imflyingbyyou 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Jrs Majestic Belle 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lady Eyem Deluxe 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cartel So Fast 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Pops Eagle 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 El Sonora 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Honour Thru Diamond 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Storms Vision 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Air Cav Piloto 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 I Cartel 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Bad Mammie 23 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Shez Gotta Attitude 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Jes Leaving the Bar 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Tf Eyesa Jess Jumpn 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Rh Querido Ruperto 4.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Dianetogetanywhere 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Catch Me Moonin 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jess Tiz an Ocean 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 First Decorated Hero 2.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Tee Zarb 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Jiorgino 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Cca Fun Walk 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Tee Trauma 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Packnshinesmemories 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Tm Shining Eagle 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pops Zoomin Toole Sm 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jess Lil Wanda 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Full Vision 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Jrs Martini Tee 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Eyesa Five Bar 2.50 5 9-1
7 7 Frosty Fast Man 3.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Nipsey 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Heza Silent Rogue 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ms Bar None T 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Jrs Majestic Prince 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Bt Bluesman 2.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Tdz Timekeeper 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Shezainabar 4.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Polita Chick 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Sheza Money Train 8.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Kenny From Winnie 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Fast Dashn Anna 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Patriot Inthe House 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Real Is Rare 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Bella Can Fly 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Jess Jj Watt Aw 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Jj Kicjess Princess 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Mr One Sweet Song 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Carters Chicawa 5.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Rollin Red Clover 15.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Bayou Chill 15.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Amateur Night 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hermosa Corona 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Freight Train D 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Baccaratt 3.00 4 7-1
4 4 Twobit Dashing Dude 5.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Paint My Secrets 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Rip R Down 6.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Perrys Dashing Eagle 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Tcb Stormy Episode 8.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Only Contender 15.00 9.8 19-1
6 6 Sweet and Classic 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.