Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Belmont Bill 0 0-1
3 3 Midnight Fury 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Pop Pop’s Ride 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Neon Lights (IRE) 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Player B 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Captain Sparrow 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Belmont Bill 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Mobe Town 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Rahm 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Granitiansevensix 8.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Grand Tiger 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Petcoff 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Seal Team (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Seldovia 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Union Heiress 15.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Tambo 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Super Enticing 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Caralova 3.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Sakura Blossom 6.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Asian Matriarch 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Desert Rhapsody 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nineeleventurbo 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Kingmeister 6.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Rijeka (IRE) 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Explain This Audit 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Seven Wonders 2.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Cowboy Justice (GB) 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Seventeen Black 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Signora Minister 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Never Sway 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Everlys Girl 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Ten the Smart Way 2.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 The Reign Song 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Queenies Way 10.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Wishtheyallcouldbe 4.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Lov U Mean It 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Careless Star 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Andy Can U Hear Me 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Luka Grazie 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Moon Ice 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Chippewa Bud 20.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Granny’s Ipa 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Panthera’s Fate 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Dark Marcus 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Grazed 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Maxville 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Silent Heat 12.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 El Rey Dorado 30.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Centre Circle 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Infiniteexperience 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Eddie’s Last 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Coffee in Bed 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Halfway to Nowhere 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Home Cooking 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Pequena Tormenta 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Fulton Market 20.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Power Surge 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Cliquish 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Ko Olina 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Soul of a Warrior 15.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Flymetothemoonbaby 30.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Vitalera (CHI) 20.00 10.4 20-1
10 10 Practica Cat (CHI) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Daisycutter H.) – Daisycutter H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tony Ann 0 0-1
1 1 Twilight Gleaming (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
5 4 Amy C (GB) 2.50 4.5 8-1
8 7 Tony Ann 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Wide West (IRE) 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Princess Adaleigh 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Sassy Nature 10.00 6 11-1
6 5 Xmas Surprise 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Secrets Told 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 3 Unbridled Mary 6.00 7 13-1
2 98 Tom’s Regret 0.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Kitty Kitana (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mr. Dreamcycle 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Diamond Concerto 20.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Artist Point 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Gentlemen’s Club 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Shining Tiger 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Ballymun 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Sunrise Mischief 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Thirsty Thursday 30.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 It Aint Over 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Mi Cabo Express 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.