Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Glenholme 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Opeechee 8.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Manetka 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Passionplate 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Moment of Zen 3.00 5 9-1
2 2 Mighty Pele 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 River of Babylon 6.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Doc Fishman 15.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Happy Fella 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Alpha Mia 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sparkle Sammy 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Dreaming of Audrey 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Billyjane 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Fedalia 2.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Jilli Marie 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Antigone 6.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Wicked Miah 8.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Endorphin Rush 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Smart Bird 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Chrome’s Angel 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Machina 3.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Gold Forester 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Alberta Be Mine 3.50 7.4 14-1
7 7 Jolene Jolene 8.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Social Drinker 6.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Its a Birdie 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Seguimi 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Malibu Uproar 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Mayito 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 De Only Solution 10.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Strong Ending 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Society Joe 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Mambointheforest 6.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Stop the Humbug 4.50 8.5 16-1
10 10 First Spring 20.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Hit the Point 12.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Wenjack 20.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Doctor Uptown 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tachyon Speed 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Silent Tribute 6.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Mountain Sound 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Miss Waterloo 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Taylormoon 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Lookhowpretty 4.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Flip Floppin Fast 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Seattle Signal 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 I’m Snow Angel 10.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Rocket Riley 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Richiesinthehouse 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mr Crowley 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 King Alfredo 1.80 3.4 6-1
5 5 Rockstar Ro 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Sunspear 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Call My Banker 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Dragon’s Brew 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Commander Joe 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sir Seamus 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Emicrack (CHI) 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Ready for a Fight 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Four Aces High 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Jazz Hands 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Romantic Gamble 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Red River Rebel 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Arms 6.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Happymac 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Unified Front 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 I’m a Bourbon Girl 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Crimson Nights 4.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Sweeping Passion 12.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Krypto Gains 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Golden Suzie 15.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Snow Lake 20.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Forever Danish 15.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Secret Gizmo 20.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Bridge to Nowhere 15.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Delawana Princess 8.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.