Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Heartland 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Head Lad 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 A Day to Remember 2.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Flight Way 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Invincible 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Slider 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Standing O 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Unconquerable Keen (IRE) 4.00 1.9 3-1
3 3 Evenerevenworse 8.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Golden Ale 30.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Zoffarelli (IRE) 5.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Nabokov 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Johnny Podres 8.00 4 7-1
4 4 Cherubic Factor 3.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Arman 8.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Castle Leoch 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lord Prancealot 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dance Man 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Only One America 5.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Mr. Chivas 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Fact Or Fiction 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Last Call Paul 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Helen’s Sun 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Just a Guess 4.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Havoc 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Episode Five 15.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Buraq’s Reflection 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bee Eye Gee 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jacrodra’s Devil 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bandeena 12.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Awesome Taylor 4.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Race Judicata 8.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Talkative Gal 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Pens Street 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Whistler’s Style 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Lucy L 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Renegade Princess 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Agreetodisagree 3.50 5 9-1
11 11 Beachgrass 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Roscoe Village 0 0-1
5 5 Loterie (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Angiolleta (IRE) 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Blue Oasis 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Roscoe Village 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Turf Rocket 6.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Auratium 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Pink Whitney 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Wok Don’t Run 8.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Keepyourpranceon 12.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Stormy Gal 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Like No Other 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Storm d’Oro 20.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Blackened 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Sugar Sugar 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Ila Veiw Too 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Numeric 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Parco 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Hot Rod Mama 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Back On the Street 8.00 7.6 14-1
11 10 Zzyzx 30.00 8.4 16-1
12 11 Major Pryce 5.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Summertime Rose 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Viewers Discretion 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Warren’s Paradice 5.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Adelie (IRE) 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Exclusive Joni 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 The Flying Pharoah 12.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Lights Astern 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Cute Khloe 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Ankyrah 6.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Wirly Girly 6.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Nicely Curved 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Lucky in Love 20.00 7.4 14-1
14 14 Lil Town Sis 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Annie’s Joy 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Proud Mary 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Port Ellen (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (San Diego H.) – San Diego H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Defunded 0 0-1
6 6 Defunded 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Slow Down Andy 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Brickyard Ride 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 American Admiral 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Tisquantum 30.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Senor Buscador 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Royal Ship (BRZ) 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Missed the Cut 5.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Tripoli 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 98 Piroli 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Impact Warrior (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
12 12 Shocking Grey 12.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Pegs A. K. Girl 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Rebel Girl 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 La Deuxieme Etoile 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Speed Lane 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Gimme Mo Baby 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Lady Jae 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Pleasant Wave 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Ultimate Hy 3.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 With Love (GB) 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Sunshine Babe 12.00 7.5 14-1
13 13 Harper’s Gallop 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Kleen Karma 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Bing Crosby S.) – Bing Crosby S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Chosen Vron 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Spirit of Makena 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Todo Fino (CHI) 20.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Dr. Schivel 3.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Anarchist 4.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Sibelius 6.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 C Z Rocket 12.00 9.8 19-1
12 12 Peaceful Waters 20.00 10.1 19-1
6 6 Get Her Number 15.00 10.2 19-1
5 5 Kid Corleone 20.00 10.6 20-1
10 10 American Theorem 8.00 11.1 21-1
1 1 Hoist the Gold 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Legitimate Target (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Precision Strike 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Chay’s Tornado 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Caribbean King 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Unusual Activity 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Hula Candy 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Watsonville 6.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Stonks 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Bring Him Home 30.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Uncle Oscar 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Smooth Salute 3.50 8.2 15-1
2 2 Nobel Gary 50.00 11.1 21-1
16 16 Yellow Brick 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Heartbreak Kid 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Seal Team (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.