Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Foreign Influence 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Donttestyourluck 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Upright 4.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Burton Way 3.00 5 9-1
2 2 Booming Bernardo 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Habeas 3.50 7.2 14-1
5 5 Conquering King 6.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Heartbreak Kid 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Benelli 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Endlessly 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Masters Sunday 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Kennel Club 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Track and Field 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Details Matter 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Potential Spam 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Who Is Pavel 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Malibu Rain 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Tribal 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tees Touch (GB) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cyberviking 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mister Bold 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Established 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Baladi 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Colt Fiction 2.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Rookie Mistake 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Jamming Eddy 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rosy Edge 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tenacious Lady 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Slam Diego 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Major Pryce 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Pacific Zip 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Love Our Family 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Point and Shoot 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Princess Magic 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 La Vikina 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Crimson Rose 12.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Issa Court 5.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Quaria Thunder 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Riveting Spirit 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Quiet Secretary 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Dolly May (IRE) 20.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Octane (BRZ) 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Song of Fire 5.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Shvere Arbeter 50.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Jibber Jabber (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tropicana Girl 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Wrong Turn Cupid 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Why Behave 15.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Get’em Tiger 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Jasmine Chieftain 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Cowboys Daughter 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Flat Out Joy 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Crown Kitten 3.50 6.1 12-1
5 5 Drizella 5.00 7 13-1
12 12 Shout It Out 15.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Island Life 50.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Roman Empress 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Mamba Cool 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Oubabe 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Talklessworkmore 5.00 4 8-1
10 10 Cousin Richie 5.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Uncle John 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 California Bay 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Shortman 10.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Worse Read Sanchez 8.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Discretionary Day 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Buck Owens 15.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Rifey 20.00 10.1 19-1
6 6 My Ransom 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gate to Paradise 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 We’ll Do It Live 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 Chatalas 4.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Just Be You 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Whiskey Wild 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Into Yellowstone 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Acoustic Melody 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Barbara T 12.00 4 7-1
7 7 Thermal 2.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Eleven Out of Ten 20.00 4.6 9-1
14 14 Greer My Dear 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bossy Bruin Gal 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Nothing Like You 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Discrepancy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Eddie Read S.) – Eddie Read S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Count Again 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Balnikhov (IRE) 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Masteroffoxhounds 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Handy Dandy 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 I’mgonnabesomebody 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Dicey Mo Chara (GB) 6.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Cabo Spirit 5.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Mackinnon 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mbagnick (CHI) 0 0-1
8 8 Mbagnick (CHI) 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Perfect Flight 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Piroli 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Disco Ball 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Redline 10.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Breakfast Ride 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 It’s My House 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Divine Armor 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 McLaren Vale 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Classical Romance 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 St Ignacio 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Classically 5.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Mega Moon 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Cryptoholic 15.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Adventuresome 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Fast Chad 3.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Russells Hustle 5.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Moonrise Drive 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Son of Thunder 6.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Crypto Man 15.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Chiefs Blanket 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Nak Nak Bolt 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mucino 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.