Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Eme Claire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Candy | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Popnfizz | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Into Mischief | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Witch Hazel | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for an Angel | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Have an Idea | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cherry Gardens | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Sicily | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burlap | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Admissible | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Top of the Mornin | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lantana Lady | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sebadas | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gambler’s Pose | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Defamation | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Lake Superior S.) – Lake Superior S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Patches O’Houlihan | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Bay Hemingway | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poulin in O T | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sooner Lunar | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Absolute Chairman | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Direct Drive | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Bullet | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fighting Irish | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sovereign Cause | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hungry Wolf | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calusa Donnie | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnificent Mario | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Burn | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goodluckmate | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Motskari | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Piper’s Factor | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Babbo | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paintthetownsilver | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Oscarsson | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Ghosts | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scat Factor | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valyrian Sky | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hawkesbury | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bankingonamiracle | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Thunder Bay S.) – Thunder Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Foolish Games | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Cargo | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Sunday | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Sinclair | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flowers ‘n Berries | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anam Cara | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tamana | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Secret Storm | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Scholar | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cadfael | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. De | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rat Portage | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Star | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amazon Forester | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smokin Holiday | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Serenade | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Genius | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classy Whisper | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meyer | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Crime | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | British Artillery | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ron’s Gizmo | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salvator Mundi | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lord of War | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Homer Screen (BRZ) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hullabaloo | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pat’ssewingmachine | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mad Dog N Joe | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Sea | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kid Marvelous | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celentano | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Django | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Trouble | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Tomahawk | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heezespeedy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Ronin | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ready Shakespeare | 2.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gee Que | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Conglomerate | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | War Court | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Edge | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Dawn | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Thread of Blue | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dancin in Da’nile | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapsasional | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | There’s No Joe | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bode’s Tipsy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Day Tripper | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Town Cruise | 3.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rapper Zapper | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coherence | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Legal Catch | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jim’s Hope | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Over and Ollie | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ottawa | 1.60 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Touch’n Ride | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dryden | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whaddya Mean | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Armaline | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | El Cohete | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enjoythesilent | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Intent | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Too Much Talk | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uptown Lights | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Under Surveillance | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midway Mischief | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Samuel | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twowaycrossing | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blast in the Snow | 4.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Killary | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Where Is Essa | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Sunshine | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Blue Cliff | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Ambition | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Astapovo | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Called Vacation | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Moonshine | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Preetzah’s Star | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legs Like Gizmo | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Rudy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yoddha | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bongino | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rookie Radar | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stolen Money | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Big Ransom | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Coach Abernathy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Giant One | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benlion | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormin Dave | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Groom Lake | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Play | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Defogger | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Elvis | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.