Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Jonathan Kiser Novice S.) – Jonathan Kiser Novice S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Awakened 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Caramelised (GB) 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Barbados (IRE) 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Realist (GB) 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Restitution (FR) 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 McTigue (IRE) 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Merry Maker (IRE) 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Solomoon (GB) 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flying in Style 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fast Buck Freddy 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Friday I’m in Love 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Chalky Cat 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Nobilis 3.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Bustino Santino 5.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Stavros 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
After Five 0 0-1
1 2 Chuck Willis (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lyrical Poet 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Chess Master 1.20 3 6-1
3 3 Brazillionaire 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Me ‘n Sap 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 After Five 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Seven Scents 8.00 6.1 11-1
1A 10 Senor Jobim 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bronx Bomber 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Catchyasoon 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Olympic Dreams 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mason Mania 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Wild Banker 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Shadow Dragon 1.80 2.5 5-1
7 7 El Hermano 12.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Un Ojo 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Bossmakinbossmoves 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Belvoir 2.50 1 2-1
1A 5 Bernietakescharge 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 2 Alotta Jays 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Once an Eagle 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Brocknardini 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Coach Sessa 6.00 5 10-1
5 6 Run for Your Honey 6.00 6.3 12-1
7 8 Find Your Joy 12.00 8.3 16-1
8 9 Charity First 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss M M 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kannon Fire 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Postnup 1.60 2.6 5-1
5 5 Home for Christmas 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Stir Crazy 2.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Redzilla 30.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 More Mango 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Boca 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Synonymous 15.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 T Max 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Lord Captain 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Just Call Ray 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 Salto de Tigre 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Bear Oak 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Lost in Rome 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 King of Hollywood 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 2 Centavo 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Portos 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 10 Bobby G 10.00 7.1 13-1
8 9 Hang Tight 30.00 7.4 14-1
1A 8 Higher Quality 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (De La Rose S.) – De La Rose S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Technical Analysis (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Evvie Jets 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Regal Realm 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Haughty 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 White Frost 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Runaway Rumour 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Eminent Victor 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Movie Moxy 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Chi Town Lady 1.60 SCRATCH
10 10 Sunset Louise 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kaufymaker 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Happy Soul 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Scotish Star (ARG) 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mail Order 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Spun Glass 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Adaay In Asia (GB) 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Sarah Harper 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Headland 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Baby Sox 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fuligni 12.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Perpetual Praise 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Into Touring 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 La Aguililla 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Devilly 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Maddie’s Surprise 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Mo Town Madison 8.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Vax 1.40 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.