Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dark Vintage (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Osage Creek 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Murphy Boy 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Eisenhower 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Rastaman Vibe 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Ziskey (IRE) 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Crone Zone 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Sharpazano 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 98 Datsyuk 0.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Stay Hot 8.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Andreadytorumble 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Austonian 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Fordy G 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sanger 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Imperial Hornet 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Winning Idea 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Coach Cronin 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 My Man Fleury 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Thirsty Pappy 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Overrule 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cali Bay (IRE) 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Table for Two 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Brother Reid 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Limited Heatwave 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Stormy Victory 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Battle Call 3.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Relaxed Artist (IRE) 20.00 5 10-1
13 13 Derecho Dandy 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Developing the Way 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Numero Dix (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 New York Dreams (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Eleuthera 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Big Novel 1.60 1.4 3-1
5 5 Dendera 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Madiha 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Don’t Get Pickled 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Tizzy Twister 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Itzel 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Denim in Gold 6.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Hayley Levade 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Nu Pi Lambda 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Linda’s Gift 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 M Is for Magic 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Miami Girl (IRE) 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 American Heights 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Squared Shady 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 She’s Got a Way 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Real Fire 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Albayaader (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sheza Girly Girl 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hennys Crazy Train 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Youteyourhonor 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 A New Peace 5.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Shanghai Sunrise 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Spoiled Rotten 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Charlotte Harbor 3.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Stellar Grace 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Subsidize 0 0-1
3 3 Burnin Turf 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dancing Rinca 12.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Tiz Plus 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Eastern Ocean 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Taishan 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Jack Sixpack 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Red Road 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Fly the Sky 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Soulmate 6.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Subsidize 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Spirit Maker 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Princess Tenko 4.00 1 2-1
10 9 Violet Crown 8.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Electric Glide 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Shambala Girl 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Cherry Chaos 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Lt’s Choice 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Miss Joannie 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Vulin 5.00 4.4 8-1
11 10 Rockin to the Boss 30.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Perfect Threat 30.00 8.6 16-1
13 12 Warren’s Show Bizz 4.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Midnight Silence 3.00 SCRATCH
9 98 Fast Investment 0.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Accelerina 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.