Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 B D Saints 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Frozen Four 4.50 1.4 3-1
10 10 A Knight’s Courage 15.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Get Spooled 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Scoop the Pot 12.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Specialagentjonson 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Dancing Mischief 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Dillon 30.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Unaudited 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Cold Plunge 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Senegal 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Invisible War 2.50 1 2-1
5 6 Cumberland Blues 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 4 Blu Grotto 4.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Union Lights 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 8 Central Pride 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 3 Bert Bert Bert 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Norgay 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 2 Cheeky Tico 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Implementation 1.20 1 2-1
1A 8 Inevtabl Conection 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 1 Jester’s Song 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Big Venezuela 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Playingwithmatches 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 3 Sainthoodforbrian 2.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Camm’ Duke 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Lord Gatling 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Run Devil 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Its Cold in Dehere 2.50 1.9 3-1
1 1 Suspended Campaign 1.20 2.4 5-1
7 7 R Tenderoni 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Greatest Love 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Trade Secret 20.00 4 8-1
3 3 Thisladyis the Law 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Vallarand 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Timbuktu 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Gem Mint Ten 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Let’s Go Big Blue 4.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 One Headlight 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mr. Kringle 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Blame It On Daddy 20.00 5.6 10-1
8 8 No Regard 30.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Eddie the Great 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Thethrillofvictory 15.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Barrel of Quests 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ortus 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Safalow’s Mission 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Modern Midas 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Whistler’s Honor 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cut the Cord 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Be of Courage 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 8 Khozy Colby 2.50 1 2-1
2 11 Baytown Kitty Cat 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 7 Leslie’s Loot 6.00 6.6 13-1
8 6 Hidden Class 10.00 7.7 15-1
4 2 Destiny Star 4.00 7.7 15-1
1A 12 Mo Twilight 2.50 7.7 15-1
3 1 Gala Brand 8.00 8.4 16-1
11 10 Goats On a Tree 8.00 9.6 18-1
7 5 Shoresy 8.00 9.9 19-1
10 9 Tempting Lady 15.00 10.5 20-1
12 14 Lady Prospect 5.00 SCRATCH
2B 13 Happy Baytown 15.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Stuck On You 8.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Little Minsky 15.00 SCRATCH
13 15 Althena 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I’mhavingamoment 2.50 1 2-1
2 1 Ribot’s Valentine 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 7 Security Code 3.50 4 8-1
7 8 Tempermental 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Diva Banker 6.00 4 8-1
8 9 Cinderella’s Cause 8.00 4.4 8-1
1A 5 Happy Sophia 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 2 Ok Honey 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 6 Silver Fist 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pipeline 0.60 1 2-1
4 4 Galt 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Guntown 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Ruggs 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bold Endeavor 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Mystic Night 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Glens Falls S.) – Glens Falls S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sopran Basilea (IRE) 0 0-1
4 4 McKulick (GB) 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Amazing Grace (GER) 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Virginia Joy (GER) 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 War Like Goddess 0.60 4 7-1
7 7 Vergara 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Sopran Basilea (IRE) 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Elegant Taste 50.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ripe for Mischief 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sinaloa 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Academy Choice 10.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Whiskey and Wine 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Bankingonachance 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 P Money 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 The Golden One 30.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Spoofy 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 War Prince 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.