Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kimono Kate 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Zoning Order 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 My Assistant 10.00 7 13-1
6 6 Doo Dah 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Shez a Sealy 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Blonde Dynamo 6.00 8 15-1
8 8 Blueberry Doll 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Roses Are Free 4.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Hard Rock Warrior 15.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Drowningnchocolate 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forest Maiden 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Machina 3.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Smart Bird 2.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Chrome’s Angel 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Alberta Be Mine 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Social Drinker 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Its a Birdie 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Gold Forester 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Jolene Jolene 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Newport Agent 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Exult 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Orphan Hallie 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Prince of Thieves 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Spanish Prince 4.00 6 11-1
2 2 Jmr Pure Sensation 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Hell Bent 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Tourist’s Dream 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Small Talk 8.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Canyouhearmenow 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Malibu Uproar 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Seguimi 6.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Wenjack 20.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Jack the Cat 3.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Mayito 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Hit the Point 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 De Only Solution 12.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Mambointheforest 10.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Executive Giant 20.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Stop the Humbug 8.00 9.9 19-1
14 14 Coleyville 8.00 11.7 22-1
13 13 Doctor Uptown 12.00 13 25-1
12 12 Society Joe 20.00 13.7 26-1
8 8 First Spring 20.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Boston Tea Party 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ninetyfour Expos 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Musical Spell 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Victoria’s Chief 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Dream Jereem 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Bajan Bullet 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Causin’ Mayhem 3.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 Sea to Air 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tachyon Speed 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Taylormoon 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Silent Tribute 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 I’m Snow Angel 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Mountain Sound 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Miss Waterloo 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Lookhowpretty 3.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Seattle Signal 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Rocket Riley 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alpha Mia 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fedalia 3.00 3 6-1
11 11 Antigone 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Jilli Marie 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sparkle Sammy 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Starlight Ridge 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Dreaming of Audrey 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Silent Guroo 5.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Billyjane 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Endorphin Rush 20.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Wicked Miah 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Richiesinthehouse 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Call My Banker 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Rockstar Ro 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Mr Crowley 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 King Alfredo 3.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Lenny K 2.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Dragon’s Brew 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Sunspear 12.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Commander Joe 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Zippity Day 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Meritamen 8.00 1.9 3-1
3 3 War’s End Kiss 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Lady in Red 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Bittersweetbizness 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Manitoulin Island 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Cliff’s Head 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Smarty Illusion 20.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Grande Bella 4.50 5.6 11-1
10 10 Reins of Purple 6.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Tenpenny Nail 20.00 9.4 18-1
12 12 Sharp Aza Rainbow 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.