Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s My Niece 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Kaliforna K 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Mysticism 2.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 She Is Romantic 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Chi Chi 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Cailin Dana 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Sophie Jean 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Indian Dreamer 15.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Avoir 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Pacific Rose 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Cyprus Moon 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Julias Dream 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Unified A. P. 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Cocktail Cutie 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Brookys Gal 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Lovme Likeafool 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Moment’s Pleasure 5.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Acclaimed Preacher 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Dorie Miller 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Sunrise Journey 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 High Heater 4.00 3 6-1
7 6 Table for Ten 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Shot of a Lifetime 6.00 3.9 7-1
11 10 My Indy 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Blameless 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 J T’s Watch 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Sweet Savant 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Tex Hanley 15.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Bravestone 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 98 Big Swede 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Yellow Brick 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Worcester 1.60 1.3 2-1
2 2 Mucino 10.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Captain Choochies 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Arromax 20.00 5 10-1
8 8 Confucius 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Union Train 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Excel Calculator 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cornelia Fort 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Daddysruby 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Tamara Mine 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Golden Again 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Rosie Forecast 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Essential Business 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Court Snort 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 She’s a Bit Sassy 10.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Sensible Move 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 I Had That One Too 12.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Warrior’s Moon 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 True Patriot 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Real Good Deal S.) – Real Good Deal S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Clouseau 0 0-1
1 1 Kangaroo Court 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Bus Buzz 1.80 1.3 2-1
2 2 Giver Not a Taker 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Clouseau 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Boss Sully 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Barely Funtional 20.00 4 7-1
6 98 Geezer 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Beer Can Man 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Noble Reflection 3.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Turn On The Jets (IRE) 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Silent Poet 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Sumter 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Radical Right 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 War At Sea 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Whatmakessammyrun 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Patron d’Oro 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Book Smart 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Quick Buck 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 The Bullion Bomber (IRE) 4.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Tahoe Secrets 5.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Stop and a Tres 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 D Coldest 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Kentucky Bourbon 4.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Top Gun Classic 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.