Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Opeechee 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Glenholme 1.80 1.5 3-1
8 8 Moment of Zen 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Passionplate 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Manetka 4.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 River of Babylon 8.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Mighty Pele 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Doc Fishman 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Wont Forget You 0 0-1
8 8 Bartica 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Trebuchet 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Society’s Thunder 6.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Four K Force 8.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Street Serenade 3.50 6.9 13-1
1 1 Discovery Chart 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Wont Forget You 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Secret Camelot 20.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Harper City 20.00 10 19-1
5 5 Yorkville 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Boxer Brief 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Luv to Win 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Allen Diggs 2.50 2 4-1
8 8 Sugar Is Golden 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Swath 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Stylish Gent 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Highland Society 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Souper River 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hallie’s Hero 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Chancel 8.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Race for Pinks 20.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Lapochka 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Decimator 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Marten River 20.00 4 8-1
12 12 Honey Won’t 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Striking Moon 10.00 5 9-1
11 11 Take a Chance 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Ready Hero 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Big Investment 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 It’s Game Knight 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Seattle Down Under 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Air Force Reserve 2.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Blasito 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Sunyani 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 C R Hot Shot 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ngabe 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Kinzhal 10.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Happy Fella 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Good Skip Indeed 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sweeping Passion 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Smiles for David 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Crimson Nights 4.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Krypto Gains 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Golden Suzie 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Secret Gizmo 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Snow Lake 20.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Bridge to Nowhere 12.00 5 10-1
2 2 Delawana Princess 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 I’m a Bourbon Girl 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tidal Forces 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Point to the Stars 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 October Frost 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Enchant Me 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Just Start Me Up 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Prince of Ayrshire 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Copinsay 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Lil Bit Gangsta 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Mehlek 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Halfinthewrapper 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hatmaker Holiday 2.50 5 9-1
3 3 Takota 15.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Foxy Lady 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Gizmo’s B F F 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Ishiyaya 10.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Loaded Question 12.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Cleomenes 3.00 9 17-1
1 1 Gabby Squared 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cotton 0.80 1 2-1
7 7 Emicrack (CHI) 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Ready for a Fight 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Red River Rebel 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Romantic Gamble 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Happymac 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Jazz Hands 20.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Arms 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Infinite Passion 4.50 1 2-1
11 11 Speedy Bubbles 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sake and Sushi 20.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Want to Go Dancing 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Telltale 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Miss Brianna 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Sloans Sky 12.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Miss Bikini 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Lulu’s Lullaby 6.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Gunnawin 15.00 9.6 18-1
2 2 Fancy Phyllis 10.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.