Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mission Beach | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Bigredsandribeyes | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dagger Ranch | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ocala Kid | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Beach | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ambiguous | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Hot | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Next Level | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Annie’s Song (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canam Gal | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keychain Girl | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella D | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Teen Drama | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rakassah (IRE) | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gypsy Lynn | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Soul | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Duchessofbayridge | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Colette’s Joy | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Betty’s Song | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anacaro | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Poetica | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jensco | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lisa’s Nonno | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lucky for You | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Practica Cat (CHI) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smoothlikebuttah | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angel Nadeshiko | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justique | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Doinitthehardway | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yuki (CHI) | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kristi’s Tiger | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Johnny Paycheck | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Defensor Fortis | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maxville | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seattle Surf | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chrome to Riches | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eddie’s Last | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Infiniteexperience | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Centre Circle | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sure Prospect | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aviator Nation | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Pretty Rena | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Paloma Blanca | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Copper Bo Ten | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Show Bizz | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exclusively Noble | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mimsy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen P | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 98 | Mama Skip | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | She’s All Mine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Artemis Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Geezer | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Man Bags | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Dr. O | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Meesh | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sawasdee | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Billy’s Bet | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hijo Galante | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roy Hobbs | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Let’s Acclimate | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Tears | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Beaudacious | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alpine Thunder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cowboy Charlie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rachel’s Coach | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Hulk | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Bellum | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Got Thunder | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sippin N Kissin | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keen to Go | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ko Samui (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | De la Luna | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Take Charge Curly | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Frost Alert | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Circle the Moon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 98 | Reign Over Me | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (California Dreamin’ S.) – California Dreamin’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bally’s Charm | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kings River Knight | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carmelita’s Man | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Indian Peak | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Larry’s Legend | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | None Above the Law | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bang for Your Buck | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal ‘n Rando | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hacking It Up | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Clement L. Hirsch S.) – Clement L. Hirsch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Adare Manor | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fun to Dream | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desert Dawn | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kirstenbosch | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elm Drive | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Irish Patsy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiergarten | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Precocious Times | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Picture of a Lady | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Precious Baby | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In Your Face | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tickle My Fancy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | De Joria | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Norah’s Princess | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Swirvin Girvin | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.