Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Do the Griddy 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Half to Reload 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Gungi 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Bodie 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Extraction Will 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Might Bee Speedy 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Ethnic Soul 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Zana 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Neolithic Nation 8.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Coco’s Dream 4.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Good News Money 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Speedy N Smart 20.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Flip Floppin Fast 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Pontresina 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sacred Dancer 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mimi’s Golden Ring 3.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Winyah Bay 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Livin On Luv 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Know How (GB) 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Spanish Beauty 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 American Gamble 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Systematic 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Kerics Beauty 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Swirling Dancer 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Quiet Maddelena 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Old Secrets 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Lincolnville Beach 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Charlotte’s Silver 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 A Gal for T J 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bokermin 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Phil in Echo 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Taradar 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Mambointheforest 2.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 My Girl Hooter 10.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Thy Kingdom 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Kitten’s Boy 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Magical Trick 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dynamic Strike 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Scored 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Texensis 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Uphill Dance 8.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Nikita’s Gem 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Red Eleanor 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Spirit Bear 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Different Drum 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Norma No 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Al Heybay 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Stormy Soul 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Bachelor Pad 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Striking Heir 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Forester’s Turn 4.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Tall Water 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 Blue Max 2.00 6 11-1
1 1 Alicia’s Kid 15.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Midnight Meadow 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Born to Boogie 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Curlin Candy 10.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Firing Bullets 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Hello Friends 12.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Gogo Shoes 12.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Mitzi 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Indian Music 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 My Sunny Valentine 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Big Ginger 20.00 7 13-1
12 12 Bodacious Miss 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Stormy Silence 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Verdejo 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Vice Regent S.) – Vice Regent S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Aim for the Sky 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mason’s Gamble 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Rockcrest 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Outlaw Kid 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Silent Runner 20.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Silent Reserve 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Forester’s Fortune 20.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Warp Ride 20.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Ol’ Blondie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cara Cara 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Give Me the Boots 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Gamble’s Orb 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Society’s Kat 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Rifling 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Velikiy 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Spring High 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kantbackoff 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bijou Baby 4.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Mardene 5.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Grace On the Green 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tapping a Rhythm 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Julie’s Mist 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Dreams and Schemes 3.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 I’m Phantom 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Ella Frances 8.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 War Vow 12.00 9 17-1
7 7 Brief 6.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.