Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ellie Moore (IRE) 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Poppy’s Joy 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Pacific Rose 5.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Double Bay (IRE) 8.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Certitude (FR) 8.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Avoir 6.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Don’t Bring Crazy 20.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Petite Ange 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Julias Dream 6.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Next Right Thing 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dr. Troutman 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Handr’sdream 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Mike Operator 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Majestic Wind 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Afternoon Heat 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Desoto’s War 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Jalen Journey 5.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Scary Fast Smile 12.00 4.2 8-1
13 12 Secret Touch 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Debt Monger 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 High Press 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Rally Cat 12.00 6.2 12-1
11 98 Mentirosa 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bajan Bashert 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Diamonds Danzing 1.80 5 9-1
3 3 Hot Thirst Trap 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Smiling Amy 12.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Jessebear 6.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Satoshi 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Comanche Gal 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Illhaveanotherkiss 15.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Rhyme Or Reason 8.00 9 17-1
4 4 Diamond Bar Gal 8.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Grazen Touch 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Scary Fast Ride 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sing a Happy Song 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Perkins 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Micro Share 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Liberal Lady 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Trouville 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Keen Lady 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Magazine 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Kuora (PER) 3.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Viva La Red 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nothing Like You 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bossy Bruin Gal 4.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Greer My Dear 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Great Forty Eight 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Cheeky Gal 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Girl of My Dreams 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Discrepancy 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Candy Aisle 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Autumn Chill 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fratelli 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Took Charge 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Hot Box 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 My Summer Dream 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Westward Look 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Barristan The Bold (GB) 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Super Brady 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Law Abiding 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Inch 10.00 5 9-1
11 11 Molto Vivace 8.00 6.4 12-1
14 13 Chasin Munny 6.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Project Leader 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Darnquick 20.00 SCRATCH
12 98 Fast Per Se 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 California Tiger 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Driver’s Ed 4.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Mr. Disrespectful 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Logon to Win 6.00 5 9-1
10 10 Bigofromfresno 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Torquewrench 10.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 City of Angels 10.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Carol’s Comic 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Duty First 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Hondo Crouch 12.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Summer Chief 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Organic 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Flame McGoon 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Gritty Girl 6.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 Don’t Ju Forget 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Big Sis Little Sis 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Long Mayshe Reign 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Queen of Pompeii 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Bengal Tiger 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Scatchmejamin 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 Square Tomatoes 20.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Miss O’Brien 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Unwritten Code 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Stay and Scam 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Smokemonthecliff 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (California Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association S.) – California Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pushiness 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Grand Slam Smile 2.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Putt for Dough 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Fly a Fantasy 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Crazy Hot 3.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Stealthespotlight 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Stay Quiet 20.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 It’s Saul Good 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (La Jolla H.) – La Jolla H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Panic Alarm (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Agency 4.00 4 8-1
7 7 Henry Q 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Smart Mo 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Justin’s Legacy 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Kid Azteca 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Zalamo (FR) 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mt. Zeror 3.50 1 2-1
12 12 The Key Is Unity 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Snapp Daddy 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Bluegrass Ryder 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 My Brother Mike 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Whiskey Vision 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Hard Times 5.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 It Was a Good Day 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Diamonds Preferred 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Missing Them 30.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Bye Everybody 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 La’och Aloysius 30.00 7.6 14-1
14 13 Cupid’s Crusader 20.00 SCRATCH
13 98 Pat Can’t Count 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.