Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Backstretch Rose | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Later Darling | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smooth Waves | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Weigh the Risks | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Sands of War | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | It’s Hot in Here (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ozara (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carina Nebula | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Ghost (GB) | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kingdom Come | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Floribunda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Dr. Ray D. | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Vino Rouge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dancing Spirit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 15 | Pisciotta (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shore War | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Value Area | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calle Amada | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ways and Means | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Managing Mischief | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bento | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Six Pack Senorita | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noriskit Nobiscuit | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She Called | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chromeplated Heart | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crowding Out | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Domina | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dufresne | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | U Should B Dancing | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Roja Ligera | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High School Crush | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shinfull | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lola Flo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | T Max | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ever Summer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frivole (FR) | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Myriskyaffair | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whatlovelookslike | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Federalist Papers | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ensemble (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Know It All Audrey | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Talbeyah (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sprinklehead | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Goldini | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Durkin’s Call | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hammerin Aamer | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Souper Catch | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burgee | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Grumps Little Tots | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Jumpster | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Higher Quality | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Moscato | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Tales | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Before You Go Go | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | America’s Vow | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Helcia | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Road | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Empire Island | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Philanthropy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ruby Queen | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Positive Message (GB) | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cant Keep Me Down | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Get Respect | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Volatility | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wicksiepixie | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belleshazza | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It Wasn’t Me | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Avalanche Is Comin | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Don’t Tell Amy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rosy Tomorrows | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fancy Stax | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spirit and Fire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tooshay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Addressable Market (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tres Chic (ARG) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Adirondack S.) – Adirondack S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brightwork | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here U Come Again | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Becky’s Joker | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Copper Em | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princesa Celina | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Streaming Now | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Indy | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Cross | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cara’s Time | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Secret | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ruda | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Up Her Sleeve | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pentagon | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Kristy | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can’t Fool Me | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | April Antics | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dontmesswithtess | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Divine Wine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Strand of Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stow On the Wold | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silent Running | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forward Move | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fast Study | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Zapruder | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unaffected | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In My Shadow | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Munny for Nuthin | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prix de West | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gio’s Majesticness | 50.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Bernardino | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fluorescent Bay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Myles | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Barry the Builder | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Thatsmyboxer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hari | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.