Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 6, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sing Dixie 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Video Vida 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Ignite the Storm 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Tory’s Holiday 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Unexpected Outcome (IRE) 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 It’s Me Mario 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Pretzlick 4.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 J M R Turek 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Silver Smoke 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gatling Gun 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Where’s Neal 10.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Silent Risk 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Midnight Ramblin 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Wild Conversation 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Hardware Gap 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Adelaide Court 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cadamosto (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Sugar Ray 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 The Great Oz 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bossy Holiday 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Border Town 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jamiesta 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mendeljohn (IRE) 2.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Boss Holiday 10.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Mr Narcissistic 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Mia and Me 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 Snookered 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Smart Coverage 8.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Give Me My Money 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Clive Cross 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Jack 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Midnight Tempesta 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 It’s a Fluke 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Hey Luigi 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Moon Over Egbert 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Hygge 8.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Little Domi 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Siesta Beach 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Buck’s Fizz 3.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Bearing Down 5.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Hatmaker Gizmo 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Country Living 8.00 8 15-1
1 1 Zippy Gizmo 10.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Jumbotron 12.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Ashuka 20.00 9.8 19-1
8 8 Brave Dancer 20.00 10 19-1
5 5 Always a Way 20.00 10.8 20-1
4 4 If You Insist 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Hamilton S.) – Hamilton S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Conman 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lifetime of Chance 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Eyes On the King 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Sir Lancelot 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Keen Flatter 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Mehlek 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Dreaming of Kona 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 La Belleza Negra 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hilarious Affair 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Rapid Test 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bill Needle 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Take Charge Sousi 2.50 6.8 13-1
3 3 Leslie Chow 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 He’s Fully Loaded 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kawacatoose 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Galvaston 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Woodbine Way 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Four Aces High 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Quite Ready 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sir Seamus 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Maakwa 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tipsy Moon 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Katchy Name 4.50 1.7 3-1
11 11 Speedy River 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Gav’s Dream Girl 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Dixie Morning 3.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 Hot Omelet 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Northern Passage 8.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Strike the Pose 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Golden Train 20.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 So Breanna 20.00 10.8 20-1
5 5 Stole the Ring 12.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.