Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pink Ace | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Song of Shadows | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | House of Magic | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quicklikeabunny | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blonde Bombshell | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camp Bashors Candy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleaseusetheportal | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Des Doigts | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pleaseusetheportal | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nesso’s Lastharrah | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Veritas Aequitas | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Slang | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rojo Pequeno | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fact Or Fiction | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Nurcan | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pens Street | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Morning Addiction | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jacrodra’s Devil | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agreetodisagree | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blossoming | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beachgrass | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucy L | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roses R Blue | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dallas Alice | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | B B Gun Bullseye | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zzyzx | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Aspirational | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Chivas | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buraq’s Reflection | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Impeachalot | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gantry | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Capital Outlay | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Club | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stolen Treasure | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cussin N Fussin | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Halo Uncle | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gentlemen’s Club | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Donnie the Chiro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ballymun | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Post Facto | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nauvoo | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star Prospect | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dos Vicios | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thirsty Pappy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trusty Rusty | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goldenspa | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jerry Jeff Walker | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wrong Spot | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Circle the Moon | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Tok | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Please Focus | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Castleknock | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Acquired Class | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Sunday | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cruzin Man | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rolling On | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marks Hip | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rachel’s Coach | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mendez Mile | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Johnny Drama | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stay and Scam | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Danzing Cat | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Everlys Girl | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Bulletproof | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fried Asparagus | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trouble N Paradise | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flymetothemoonbaby | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roubaix | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cane Creek Road | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Silver Oak | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Wind | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dominant Soul | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Derecho Dandy | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasin Munny | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New York Dreams (GB) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Light Fury | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daniel Sun | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.