Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 10, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Royal Quality 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Town’s Warrior 2.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Derivative 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Hard Reload 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Makes No Cents 4.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Courtingcourtney 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Nadiabizniz 20.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Gormley Girl 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Little Fire 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Absolute Jewel 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Halo Style 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Wake Up Maggie 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rookie Court 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Alcom’soutinthwash 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Wanna Play 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Smart Irene 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Sandy Grace 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Leading Force 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Electric Lightning 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lady Maeve (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Oheavens 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Pino in a Purse 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Airy Fairy 15.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Speedy Lynn 15.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 I’ll Take the Gold 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Wicked Miah 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Pluie d’Avril 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Stormy Suzie 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Mi Tormenta 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Erasmo’s Girl 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cheeky Pint 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Machisima 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Foresters Princess 20.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Text Me Up 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Bodacious Miss 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tempereya 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fanore (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Exude 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Vincenzino 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Painted Glory 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Milagre Do Sol 2.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Big Shooter 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Turf and Surf 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Forest Vixen 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Favorite Channel 4.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Say Grace 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Gentle Seas 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Castleton 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Key Stroke 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Impossible Bertie 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Candy Wine 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.