Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bowtie Boys 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ready to Storm 5.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Ringtone 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Ace of Clubs 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Eligio 1.80 6.2 12-1
3 3 Always On Cay 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Thompson 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Stotland 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Muhammad Ali (PER) 20.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Big Swede 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Chicknfingerfriday 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Mac’s Time 1.80 3.6 7-1
5 5 Curly Esa 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Divine Feminine 12.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Mr. T’s Thirsty 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grand Tiger 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Grazed 3.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Black as My Heart 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Ghostly Act 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Double Jab 3.00 3.4 7-1
9 9 Lord Tripping 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Gianola 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Nahan 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Toppers Wager 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Information 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Goldensunrise 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lemon Sushi 8.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Sauls Call 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Super Chief 6.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Big Hand 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Windribbon 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Handsome Gary 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Golf Drama 20.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Mystic Flyer 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 What an Idea 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Seattle Breakout 15.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 In Vronsky Style 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Runamileinmyshoes 3.50 1 2-1
6 5 Longhorn Lassie 8.00 1.6 3-1
9 8 Petit Filet 8.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Asada Fries 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Pondergating 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 O Mandy 6.00 2.6 5-1
10 9 Prancingthruparis 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Ruby’s Home 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Smoove Over 30.00 4.2 8-1
11 10 Mirinda 2.50 SCRATCH
5 98 Claire Phillips 0.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Lady Lithesome 6.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Safa 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Graduation S.) – Graduation S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Refocus 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Wild Jewels 12.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Lord Prancealot 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Last Call London 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Shady Appeal 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Smokem Ez 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Mici’s Express 6.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Salsation 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Inner Beauty (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Golden Temper 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Dolly May (IRE) 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Corporal Violette (IRE) 2.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Downburst 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Abhita 6.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Aspirational 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Shezmisbehaving 8.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Ila Veiw Too 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 L L L Cool 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Montana 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Ice Storm 5.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 All the King’s Men 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Rippin’ Ruis (AUS) 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Big Gun 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Buffett 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Len’s Luck 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Commissioner H 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 American Empire 6.00 6.4 12-1
12 11 Finding Love 8.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Donttestyourluck 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.