Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bold Choice 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Hey Demps 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Eltonsingsanother 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Work N Flirt 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Seahawk Mary 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sand to Sea 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Scary Fast Ride 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Penny’s Hope 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 President Z 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Too Much Info 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Stan From Malibu 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Stay in the Game 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Worth Looking 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Mentirosa 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Stafford to Kupp 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Outspoken 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Elegant 1.60 1.3 3-1
5 5 Laurent 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Rascality 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Feisty Mitole 2.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Wicked Desire 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Where’s My Ring 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Acoustic Melody 12.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Greenteaze 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Best Pal S.) – Best Pal S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tranche 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Muth 0.60 1.1 2-1
1 1 Raging Torrent 15.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Prince of Monaco 1.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 Who Is Pavel 30.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Last Call Paul 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Stay On the Fence 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Dr. No No 1.80 5.4 10-1
8 8 Bee Eye Gee 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Western Grit 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Sir Lucas 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Whiskey Rye 12.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Chromeflash 4.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Immelmann 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Eastern Ocean 4.00 1 2-1
10 9 Burnin Turf 6.00 2.4 5-1
9 8 Exultation 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Don’t Swear Dave 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Spirit Maker 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Lure Him In 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Majestic Eagle 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Kennebec 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Hurricane Cloud (GB) 4.00 5.4 10-1
11 10 Lone Scout 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 98 Rager 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Devil Be Me 0 0-1
8 8 Cowboy Mike 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 In Vronsky Style 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Devil Be Me 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Stamp My Passport 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Workday 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Gypsy Tears 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Love Candy 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 My Ransom 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Del Mar Jerry 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Smart Code 4.00 2.4 5-1
11 11 Themainprotagonist (IRE) 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Ze’bul 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Seventeen Black 30.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Bolt Supremacy 20.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 X J Rascal (IRE) 5.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 For A Laugh (IRE) 6.00 9 17-1
4 4 Legislator 8.00 10.2 19-1
3 3 Almost Snow 12.00 11.3 21-1
12 12 Reiquist 6.00 11.5 22-1
1 1 Bear Mountain 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
I’m a Risque Girl 0 0-1
6 5 Miss Commander 12.00 1 2-1
4 3 Hey Barmaid 3.00 2.1 4-1
12 11 Turquoise Bikini 20.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Just Is 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 I’m a Risque Girl 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Rosie Ann Rules 4.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Twin Soul 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Ocean of Lies 20.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 C Her Beauty 8.00 6 11-1
10 9 Hollywood Rumor 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 7 Dorine’s Wild Cat 12.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Ryder’s Candy 20.00 SCRATCH
15 14 Strange Addiction 4.00 SCRATCH
3 98 California Diva 0.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Zoe’s Pride 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Giovinazzo 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Goldeneye 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 National Road 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Cardiff Crack 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Tallis 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Greenbow 4.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Chiefs Blanket 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Developing the Way 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Vagabond Shoes 12.00 9 17-1
7 7 Rich Gold 6.00 10.8 20-1
11 11 Calari Bluecat 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.