Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stellamaris 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Genetics 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Tahiti Iti 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Exhilarate 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Wonder Ride 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Magic Eight Ball 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Clearly a Test 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nikitis 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Latte Lizzie 12.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Lady Blitz 5.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Dancing Spirit 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Vino Rouge 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Ba Dee Yah 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Out too Late (GB) 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Sea Dancer 4.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Dr. Ray D. 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Strife 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lastchanceatglory 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Nifty 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Swiftsure 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Jemography 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Float On 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Scilly Cay 4.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Senor Jobim 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Alfio 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cigarette Boat 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 City Fever 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Spanish Doubloon 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Cumberland 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 American Know How 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Be There 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Gold Franc (IRE) 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Unclecharliesgift 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Alexis Zorba (GB) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Activist Investing (GB) 0 0-1
4 4 Operation Torch 1.20 1 2-1
2 5 Clever Thought 2.50 2.7 5-1
1A 3 Activist Investing (GB) 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 6 Escapologist 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 7 Narciso Dali 30.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Our Dream Rye’d 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Justice Department 2.00 6.2 12-1
2B 10 Crupi 2.50 SCRATCH
7 8 Winters Lion 5.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Paddington 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Crazy Cami 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Echo Lake 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Zadorsky 2.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Lady Prospect 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Day Away 20.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Extra Dirty 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Shimmering Allure 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Bornforgreatness 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Elusive Fashion 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Althena 30.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Flowers for Me 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Azteca Stardust 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Handle On You 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vittorio 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Guntown 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Looms Boldly 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Secret Rules 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Khozeiress 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Saint Tapit 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Lobsta 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Business Model 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Magic Tap 0 0-1
5 5 Film Star 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dreamlike 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Magic Tap 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tapit Shoes 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Whittington Park 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Cyber Ninja 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 He’s Got Swagger 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Saqeel 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Candy Tycoon 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 H P Moon 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Willy Boi 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 He’smyhoneybadger 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sagamore Mischief 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Shooters Shoot 3.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 Twenty Four Mamba 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Castle Chaos 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Mahony S.) – Mahony S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gaslight Dancer 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Eye Witness 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Private Creed 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Uncashed 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Harry Time (IRE) 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 No Nay Hudson (IRE) 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Drew’s Gold 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Closethegame Sugar 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Son of a Birch 30.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Crispy Cat (GB) 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.