Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ms Diamond Deluxe 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mp Splashing Pilot 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Zoom N On High 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Br Strut Formargaret 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Kk Speed Piloto 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Ventee Ronas Latte 15.00 4 7-1
9 9 Missy Mtz Piloto 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Shaylenne 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mg Rip Tide Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Chantally Memorial 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Jambalaya Empress 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Special Corona Guy 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Kp Paintmeasymphony 2.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Jw Corona Dressed 12.00 4 7-1
6 6 Moonlight Special 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Big Man 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Power by Black 5.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Eagle Speed 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Big Girl Five 15.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Ruse That 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 South Tallahassee 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Shezainabar 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Blood N Coronas 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Tdz Moms Patriot 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Jt One Sweet Shakeem 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Power Up 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Catch Me Moonin 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Jusmychick 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 A Political Sophia 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 McV American Girl 2.50 1.1 2-1
10 10 Tg Coup Azoom 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Bjs Toast to Cartel 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bjs the Toughest Guy 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Eyesa Five Bar 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Jrs Majestic Baby 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Pops Zoomin Toole Sm 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Ezamae 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Jessagreatgrandson 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Border War 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Baja Blast 1.80 2.6 5-1
3 3 Bryghtsyde 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Glitter Aint Gold 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Playing With Blood 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Bottomoftheninth 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Feature a Hero 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Reem Al Ghazal 20.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Ballin Jack 5.00 9.8 18-1
5 5 In a Jiffy 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Golden Chick 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Five Bar Panther 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Royal Jet Knockout 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Political Train 5.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Bellas First Rogue 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Eyemax 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Monaco Tlc 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Mason Hung the Moon 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Sassy Pink Cartel 4.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Lonestar Runner 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ms Red Hot Patriot 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ttt Cowboy Boot 8.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Politically Blue 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 One Sweet Rogue 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Dashing Forthe Money 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tinys First Runaway 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 M Cr Pilotos 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Miss Jojo Piloto 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Carters Chicawa 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Ajs Wild N Out 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cantcontainthepower 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tg Mount Coup 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Lulu Starr 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Jc Mrs Zuly 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Comma Ta Da Top 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Game Fine Corona 6.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Inperfect 8.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Eagle Dash Fast 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Jewels Train 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Unify 12.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.