Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mt Logan 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Walter Me Lad 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Adelaide Court 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Smart Sky 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Musical Stride 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Moment of Peace 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Candy Street 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 Collaborative 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Crash the Crease 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Liplock 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Sharp Aza Rainbow 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Moon Pool 20.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Total Betty 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Chrome’s Angel 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Thunderheavyrain 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Ashlee’s Ring 10.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Menagerie 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Katchy Name 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tamana 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alpha Meister 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Chamber Music 4.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Celentano 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Coherence 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Proud Ronin 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Wet and Wild 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 The New Maybe 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Astapovo 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Holiday in Chile 10.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Hungry Wolf 8.00 1.6 3-1
11 11 Miah Said 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Star Scholar 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Heezespeedy 10.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Secret Storm 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Amazon Forester 20.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Dancin’ Deputy 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Global Chairman 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Bellaspina 20.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Mr. Rudy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Last Monarch 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Chairman Rainbow 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Arafat 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Old Blue Cliff 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Burlap 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Jmr Speedy Escape 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Chipotle Pepper 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Field Hockey 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Sugartap 8.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Golden Wind 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silent Ghost 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Loaded Vixen 3.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Lois Len 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Hard to Capture 2.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Hit and Run 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Starlight Ridge 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Olympic Fencer 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 No Whammie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Halfinthewrapper 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Jill 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Verdejo 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Ima Beast 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Storming Lady 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Cefalo 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Miss Bobbit 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Drowningnchocolate 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 T’pring 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Telltale 2.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Hard Rock Warrior 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Onandonandon 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Fedaline 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Makayla 20.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Sixtofive 8.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Spirit O’Tipperary 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.