Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Two Rivers Over 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lottery Pick 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Hudson Ridge 1.60 1.4 3-1
6 6 Caisson 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Afjan 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Birth of Cool 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Paid in Gold 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Tiff With Jimmy 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Encolpion 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Yolo Calls 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Allocate 3.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Sweet Mother Mary 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Mahina 6.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Bruins Mastery 12.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Dorine’s Wild Cat 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Idessia 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Candy On Top 2.50 1.5 3-1
10 10 Warren’s Paradice 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Jersey Sunset 12.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Benster 12.00 5 10-1
1 1 Yvett’s Surprise 4.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Kaylas Joy 20.00 8 15-1
8 8 Tapit Rocks 15.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 The Music We Make 30.00 9.9 19-1
12 12 Jessebear 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Illhaveanotherkiss 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Annie’s Hope 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Economical 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Heir (FR) 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Brutto 10.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Sai Con (FR) 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Touchdown Brown 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Santos to Wilson 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Stormy Samurai 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 98 Divine Rascal 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Unfaithful Ways 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Naughty Nadine (GB) 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Harper’s Gallop 3.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Shared Future 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 La Deuxieme Etoile 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Music Festival 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Dramatizer 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Kleen Karma 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Warrior’s Moon 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rookie Mistake 3.00 1 2-1
11 10 Oil Can Knight 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Tetsu 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Jamming Eddy 5.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Doo Wop Don 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Chasing Fame 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Tembo 15.00 5 9-1
9 9 Boldness 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Sol Del Sur 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Cajun Treasure 12.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Italiano 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Ctt And Toc S.) – Ctt And Toc S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Neige Blanche (FR) 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Eylara (IRE) 5.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Queen Ofthe Temple 3.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Symphony Perfect (IRE) 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Sister Otoole 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Myfavoritedaughter 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Paris Peacock (IRE) 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Oakhurst 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Happy Happy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Midnight Fury 2.50 1 2-1
5 4 U R Pressed 4.00 3 6-1
14 12 Non Toxic 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Zee Carrot Eagle 12.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Habeas 5.00 7.5 14-1
7 6 Rocky Champs 30.00 8.3 16-1
12 11 Eagles Landing 15.00 8.5 16-1
9 8 American Livin 12.00 9.5 18-1
8 7 Riggsalicious 50.00 10.1 19-1
11 10 East to Beast 8.00 10.3 19-1
15 13 Cupid’s Crusader 10.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Brazen Bull 5.00 SCRATCH
13 98 Fordy G 0.00 SCRATCH
3 98 King Heat 0.00 SCRATCH
1 1 South Coast Route 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.