Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hip to Your Tricks | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It Worked | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Half to Reload | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Speed | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucys Child | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stubborn Streak | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockland Express | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bongino | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gus’s Gamble | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Confusing | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C R Hot Shot | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rookie Radar | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Ransom | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Benlion | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trigger’s Bay | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bet N Win | 4.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kodiak Mamba (IRE) | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alicia’s Kid | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Executive Chairman | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Mahogany | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tall Water | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Might Bee Speedy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Society | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commander Tom | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lake Shore Drive | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Assistant | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Nights | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Vow | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bridge to Nowhere | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Bombolini | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indiana Road | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Bourbon Girl | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Suzie | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Defamation | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moet Monet | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gunnawin | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Katchy Name | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Breanna | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grande Bella | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tamana | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celtic Revival | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Passage | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Its a Birdie | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tenpenny Nail | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speedy Johny | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Super Sicily | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Jokes Up | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hurricane Gizmo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cherry Gardens | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mountain Sound | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Speedy N Smart | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Momascrest | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gambler’s Pose | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taylormoon | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Admissible | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Moe | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love to Dream | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Seattle Signal | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jab | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cloud Storage | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remembering Rhoda | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halaga | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ashbury | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Retail Therapist | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Lake | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Umneyaat | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Machina | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sand Dancer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finalist | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bet | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stop the Humbug | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coleyville | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Executive Giant | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make No Mistake | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Vixen | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr. De | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Holiday | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yorkville | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dio Brando | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ignite the Storm | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River of Babylon | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Me Mario | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Discovery Chart | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Genius | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.