Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dawn At Last 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bella Baby 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Fried Asparagus 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Dove in Charge 3.00 4 8-1
7 7 Sapadilla 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 House of Targaryen 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Half Nelson 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Track Queen 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Neon Lights (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Caribbean King 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Smooth Salute 2.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Seal Team (GB) 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Lahaina Flavor 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Hula Candy 3.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Shadow Creek (IRE) 12.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Player B 15.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Uncle Oscar 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Established 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Smuggler’s Run 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Departure 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 C’Mon Man 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Fratelli 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cairo Calling 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Golden Ale 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ennereilly (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Flattery 4.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 California Code 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Baltic Fire 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Runyon Canyon 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Wind Chasin 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Mocha Grande 8.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Beads 4.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Pretty Layla 8.00 8.8 17-1
11 10 Super Enticing 12.00 9.4 18-1
12 11 Roscoe Village 3.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Auratium 15.00 SCRATCH
9 98 Elyanna 0.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Stormy Gal 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Just a Little Luck 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mango Moon 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sugar Sugar 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Barbera 6.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 R Girl’s Werth It 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Blackened 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Numeric 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Smokemonthecliff 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Goliad 0 0-1
5 4 Evening Sun (GB) 6.00 1 2-1
9 8 Lovesick Blues 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Handy Dandy 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Goliad 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Hit the Road 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 7 Castle Leoch 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Astronomer 12.00 5.3 10-1
12 11 Balladeer 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Flashiest 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Tarantino 30.00 7 13-1
14 98 Restrainedvengence 0.00 SCRATCH
13 98 Vantastic 0.00 SCRATCH
2 98 Zarak (CHI) 0.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Sarwar (FR) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tamara 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Timely Arrival 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Flynn’s Chance 4.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Asian Matriarch 15.00 3 6-1
10 10 Arctic Breeze 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Hope Road 2.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Desert Rhapsody 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Tianma 12.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Chica Arma 20.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Just Be You 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Del Mar Oaks) – Del Mar Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Be Your Best (IRE) 0 0-1
7 7 Big Pond 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ruby Nell 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Anisette (GB) 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 And Tell Me Nolies 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Impact Warrior (IRE) 4.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Be Your Best (IRE) 4.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Absolutely Zero 50.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Window Shopping 6.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Infinite Diamond 12.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Paris Secret (IRE) 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Granada Flavor 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Universal Payday 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Man On the Moon 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Tone Feelin 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Big Buzz 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Papale 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Sittin On Go 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Far West 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Mongolian Kingdom 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 El Potente 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Baj 6.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Tio Magico 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Fifty Cent Dollars 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Fly the Sky 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Remote 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Vancougar 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Act Three 5.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Hakkimi (CHI) 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Eastbound 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Mischelof (CHI) 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.