Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Adesso | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valley Victory | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No More Options | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meko Makee | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Natural Star | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Still Wicked | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit of Seattle | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blue Max | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | It’s Game Knight | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Al Heybay | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | De Only Solution | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Forester | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockstar Ro | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ivy’s Star | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tomcat Black | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trinity Park | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uptown Lights | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Posturing | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shamateur | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hemlo Gold | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Too Much Talk | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grand Journey | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Thread of Blue | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Whisper | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hunt Master | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready Shakespeare | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Downy Boy | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Speighty | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poseidon Steel | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crevalle d’Oro | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Destiny Ro | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legs Like Flatter | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Presence | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sancerre | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twisting Pistons | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormcast | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dyna’s Flatter | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magic Token | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nantuckets Day | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Simply in Front | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saccharine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Emerance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr Nobility | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Faith | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Junipero Serra | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Elvis | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Over and Ollie | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Trouble | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Sweet Briar Too S.) – Sweet Briar Too S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vantarsi | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run for the Hills | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clitheroe (GB) | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Drift | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Edge | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canadiansweetheart | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talk to Ya Later | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hazelbrook | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aubrieta | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Artie’s Princess | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ambassador Luna | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Vision | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valentina Day | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luz de La Luna | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (King Edward S.) – King Edward S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Treason | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Score | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shirl’s Speight | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Bomber (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Minkster | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pao Alto (FR) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conglomerate | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancin in Da’nile | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bode’s Tipsy | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Town Cruise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Haddassah | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arms | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Repeat the Heat | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bringer of Rain | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Concealed Carry | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taranto Titan | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keep Grinding | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nonno’s Little Boy | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guns n’ Rojas | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.