Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Power and Glory | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cause I’m Elegant | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strange Fruit | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go Susan Go | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shotgun Patsy | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Sonadora | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alterina | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Price Is Truth | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Instamatic | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Detective Tom | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mithridates | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rob the Bank | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sebastianthe First | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Clavinet | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King Freud | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Score the Rock | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Patronage | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Wine Responsibly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Split Strike | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Sorority Prank | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Hard Par | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Easter (FR) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Conduct | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kuramata (IRE) | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Main Event | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Sonata | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unanimous Consent (GB) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Endeavor | 0.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Anthracite | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Union Lights | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bobby | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Classic Mark | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Bert Bert Bert | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Complete Agenda | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Truebelieve | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Empire Ride | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holder Close | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sun and Wind | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buona Salute | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hillbilly Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lady Arwen | 1.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Czech | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mastery’s Secret | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5 | Artemus Citylimits | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2B | 7 | Oxymore | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Fluid Situation | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sosua Summer | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Senbei | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Souper Success | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Into the Sunrise | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Noble Emotion | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Fauci | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Mamba On Three | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Nolo Contesto | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 16 | Seven Nation Army | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 15 | Jake Rocks | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 14 | Emerald Forest | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 13 | High Oak | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Mystery | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Bay | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B B’s Busted | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mia Bea Star | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vallarand | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Timed Out | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | To a T | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vitaemi | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackie the Joker | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meraviglioso | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midtown Rose | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Sophia | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Triple P | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mohegan Sun Ballston Spa S.) – Mohegan Sun Ballston Spa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Technical Analysis (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jumbly (GB) | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Consumer Spending | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fluffy Socks | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Evvie Jets | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surprisingly | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gam’s Mission | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Bridget (IRE) | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Into Happiness | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Speak of the Devil (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dr Kringle | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Toofareastiswest | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Weyhill Road | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Game Keeper | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Atlantic Dancer | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Officer | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jamestown | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sacred Rhyme | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timo | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucency | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.