Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 25, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 House of Magic 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Tickle My Fancy 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Song of Shadows 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Aventapp 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Katerini 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Yo Yo Mama 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Keychain Girl 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Straighten Up 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Too Much Info 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Thirsty 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Corporal Klinger 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Midnight Lightning 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Mendez Mile 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Mentirosa 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sushi Sticks 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Kitzkaty 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Harney Lane 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 O K Rose 10.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Hot Danzing 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Lighting and Reign 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Annie Fox 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Moment’s Pleasure 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Tequila Mia 8.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Acclaimed Preacher 15.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Lady Lithesome 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wynstock 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Guy Named Joe 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Ultra Power 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Indispensable 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 El Magnifico 4.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Rothschild 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She’s Got a Way 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Queenzy 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Alvina (FR) 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Real Fire 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Swall 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Magic Light 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Rufa Red Knot 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Albayaader (IRE) 3.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Gem Mine 15.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Denim in Gold 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Hayley Levade 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Just Nails 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Halfway to Nowhere 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kiss for Lulu 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Diamond Concerto 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Handsome Harry 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Halo Uncle 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Havoc 2.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Thirsty Thursday 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Thirsty Moe 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Wicked Facts 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Solana Beach S.) – Solana Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chancery Way 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Rose Maddox 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Eddie’s New Dream 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Madiha 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Ultimate Hy 3.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Glorious Spring 10.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Sunshine Babe 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Harper’s Gallop 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Keepyourpranceon 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Satellite Heart 5.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Pondergating 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Cocktail Cutie 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Brookys Gal 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Big Rainbow 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Panda Peak 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Quick Kate 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Josie Earp 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.