Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 27, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ace of Clubs 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Salsation 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Eligio 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Outer Sunset 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Mr. Dreamcycle 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Gentlemen’s Club 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Crimson Rose 2.50 1 2-1
5 4 Riveting Spirit 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Callhercontessa 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Quaria Thunder 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Kuora (PER) 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Don’t Get Pickled 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Bandeena 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Cowboys Daughter 5.00 SCRATCH
2 98 Dramatizer 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Anybody’s Choice 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Big Sis Little Sis 2.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Silver Lightening 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 R Swirvin Girvin 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 La Paloma Blanca 2.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Kikilove 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Maven 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Chasin Munny 12.00 2 4-1
8 8 Blameless 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Subsidize 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Molto Vivace 20.00 4 8-1
3 3 Westward Look 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Inch 8.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Cane Creek Road 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Commander Khai 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Marks Hip 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Irish Heatwave 10.00 6.6 12-1
12 12 Jamming Eddy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Autumn Chill 0 0-1
6 6 She’s My Niece 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Autumn Chill 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bossy Bruin Gal 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Thermal 2.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Greer My Dear 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Great Forty Eight 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Elyanna 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Barely Funtional 6.00 1 2-1
10 9 Beaudacious 8.00 1.2 2-1
14 11 Cowboy Charlie 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Tom Horn 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Billy’s Bet 12.00 3.1 6-1
11 10 Rachel’s Coach 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Hijo Galante 30.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Resilient 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Lemon Sushi 8.00 6 11-1
8 7 Alpine Thunder 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Catemaco 8.00 6.6 13-1
13 98 Midnight Somewhere 0.00 SCRATCH
12 98 Golf Drama 0.00 SCRATCH
5 98 Geezer 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Duty First 3.50 1 2-1
9 8 Driver’s Ed 4.00 2.4 5-1
10 9 Sanger 6.00 3 6-1
7 6 Lord Tripping 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Carol’s Comic 8.00 4 8-1
13 12 Seattle Surf 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Coach Cronin 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Johnny Paycheck 6.00 6.3 12-1
11 10 Centre Circle 20.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Quincey 30.00 8.4 16-1
6 5 Nahan 30.00 8.4 16-1
8 7 Torleif 8.00 8.5 16-1
5 98 Reef City 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 One Fast Bro 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Indy Lyon 5.00 2 4-1
10 10 Our Silver Oak 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Grape Nuts Warrior 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Jacks Outlaw 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Discretionary Day 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 No Slo Mo 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Ishihara 20.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Mr. T’s Thirsty 6.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Never Seen Before (IRE) 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Rancho Bernardo H.) – Rancho Bernardo H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Eda 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Kirstenbosch 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Lady T 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Princess Adaleigh 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Violent Runner 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Muted 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Home Cooking 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 98 Olivia Twist 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lulu Lemon Drop 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Annie’s Joy 5.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Lil Town Sis 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Oak Street Beach 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Calabrian Queen 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Port Ellen (IRE) 6.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Nicely Curved 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Princess Midnight 6.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Unkept Secret 12.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Happyasaclam (IRE) 20.00 11.2 21-1
12 12 Geejaytee 30.00 11.5 22-1
6 6 Guitar Girl 30.00 13 24-1
16 16 Viewers Discretion 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Cute Khloe 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lights Astern 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Adelie (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.