Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Total Discretion | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Popthechampagne Ro | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Road to Dreams | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amalfi Lady | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anacarava (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Five Star Fran | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruby Dooby Doo | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Misbehaving Lady | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | In Spades | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trepat | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Uhtred | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzen Man | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wispering Springs | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Freebee | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Porsupuesto | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Haney Boys | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aye | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Leviosa | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frankly My Dear | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Live Aid | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sizzling Roma | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isabella Smile | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knock Out Kid | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boca Royalty | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Southern Cents | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wishing Ona Prayer | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pageant Princess | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boston Princess | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Patty Cakes | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Collin’s Grey Lady | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Castilleja | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irie Empress | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Distorted View | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Phancy Philly | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Ring Thing | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Old Head | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be Water | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Now Act Surprised | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Riverview | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nowyouscan’tleave | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Back to D’ Future | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Breeze | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leaping for Candy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La La Lucy | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dune Jumper | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Respirator | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go East | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bubby Papermaker | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Mover | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Little Henry | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jewels in the Bay | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Uptown Shoes | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Lime | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carrickmacross | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | E T’s Demon Fire | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Stardom | 10.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stand United | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Loose Goose | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jardani | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Game Time | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pit Boss | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Launch | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shooger Ray Too | 5.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bird King | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jacohare | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scoop Dawg | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Speightster Red | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brett’s World | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Bon Bay | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Out Dancing | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Olivia Darling | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Willemina | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shero | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Early Edition | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juror Number Four | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flor de Sombra | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Sight | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paper Mansion | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Worst Behaviour | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Et’s Moon Maiden | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Espernsita | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Desert Dalliance | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snappy Ride | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clout Chaser | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Euphima (ARG) | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Determined Lilly | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marvelette | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flight | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carmel Sunrise | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tap It Up | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Heart Light | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Wine | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So Fully Sue | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elevenmonthslater | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nightsaber (GB) | 6.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neon City | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bruno Barber Girl | 4.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Royal Party | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.