Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 30, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Junonia 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Total Joy (IRE) 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 8 Go Poke the Bear 4.50 3 6-1
1A 5 Cibolian 1.80 3.4 6-1
1 1 Modus Operandi (IRE) 1.80 3.6 7-1
6 7 Neotropic 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Animal Kingston 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 6 Barbados (IRE) 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Before You Go Go 2.50 1 2-1
7 8 Waskesiu 6.00 1.1 2-1
5 6 Clearly a Test 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 2 Justice Julia 2.00 4.4 8-1
1A 3 Emery 2.00 4.7 9-1
3 4 Bento 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Ruby Queen 5.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Ringy Dingy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Leslie’s Loot 3.00 1 2-1
4 3 Tempting Lady 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Lu’s Redemption 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Handle On You 12.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Turbo Maggie 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 1 Althena 30.00 7.8 15-1
3 2 Rock On Layla 10.00 8 15-1
8 7 Itza Dream 8.00 8.4 16-1
9 8 She She’s Shadow 15.00 8.8 17-1
1A 15 Luna Rosso 15.00 9.5 18-1
14 14 Call Her Bluff 4.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Twirl the Flag 5.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Entrepreneurship 4.50 SCRATCH
1 11 Elusive Fashion 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Laconia 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cupid’s Heart 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Liquidity Provider 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Little Prankster 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Vallelujah 20.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Mongolian Panther 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 To a T 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Huntress for Hire 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Adeliese’s Smile 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Need Some Money 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Askari 6.00 1 2-1
15 15 Signator 3.00 1.2 2-1
13 13 Gilmore 0.80 3.5 7-1
3 3 Antares 10.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Kigali 30.00 5.6 10-1
12 12 Winters Lion 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Narciso Dali 50.00 5.6 11-1
16 16 Midnight Trouble 10.00 11.7 22-1
9 9 Joking Way 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ramblin’ Wreck 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Lachaise 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Let’s Go Big Blue 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 I’m Very Busy 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Wico (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Inflation Nation (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Yacowlef (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Digital Future 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 First Deputy 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 No More Talk 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Ghost Giant 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Printrack 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Air Show 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Winning Drive 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Souper Catch 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Money Mike 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Dontbelate 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Absolute Control (FR) 10.00 1 2-1
15 15 Spell On You 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 She’s Mo Bubbly 3.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Taciturn 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Machiavellique 20.00 3.6 7-1
14 14 Katie’s Checkride 15.00 5.6 11-1
16 16 Paris Style (FR) 4.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 She Will Dance (IRE) 30.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Laserjet 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fizzy 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tawaret 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Why Waste Words 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Libretto (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Akayla (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 King’s Secret (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lady Claypoole (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tizzy in the Sky 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Signal From Noise 5.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Olga Isabel 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Tough Street 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Shezz Koldazice 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Pretti Xtreme 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Leave No Trace 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Movie Moxy 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Know It All Audrey 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (P. G. Johnson S.) – P. G. Johnson S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Magic Cross 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dancing Spirit 4.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 Miz Sense 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Takemetothebeach 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Villi Olento 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Hard to Justify 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 She Feels Pretty 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Brocknardini 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Gala Brand 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Madame Mischief 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Cynane 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Uncle Marty 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Silent Running 12.00 1.7 3-1
14 14 Atlanta’s Acuna 6.00 1.8 3-1
12 12 Myles 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Utamaro 6.00 2.6 5-1
15 15 I’m Just 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Social Sidekick 15.00 5 10-1
6 6 Munny for Nuthin 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Perfect Outcome 30.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Impazible Prince 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Barry the Builder 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Thatsmyboxer 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Prix de West 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Charming Jim 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fast Study 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hari 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.