Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 31, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Upward Mobility 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Single Track Mind (IRE) 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Hacking It Up 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Acquired Class 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Post Facto 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Eddie’s Last 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Tom and Jazzy 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Silent Sunday 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Themainprotagonist (IRE) 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Powertrain 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Greenteaze 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Southern Slang 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Im Gunna 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 You’reinthearmynow 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Just Step On It 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 98 Nurcan 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Luka Grazie 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dark Marcus 2.50 1.3 2-1
9 9 Silver N Black 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Get the Gold 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Maxville 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Silent Heat 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Aviator Nation 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Stop Whining 8.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Big George 20.00 9.4 18-1
12 12 Bigofromfresno 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sure Prospect 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Chrome to Riches 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Rose Dawson 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cliquish 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 Trouville 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Liberal Lady 1.60 2.1 4-1
6 5 Unfaithful Ways 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Act of Serendipity 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 98 Viva La Red 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Keen Lady 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Standing O 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Zoffarelli (IRE) 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Ambivalent 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Unconquerable Keen (IRE) 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Gypsy King 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Arman 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Prince Lancelot (GB) 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Evenerevenworse 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Zarak (CHI) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Conquistar 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Anacaro 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Enclosure 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Colette’s Joy 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Duchessofbayridge 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Irish Myth 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Con Seal and Kerry 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Golden Skyline 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Denim in Gold 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Organic 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Miami Girl (IRE) 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Hayley Levade 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Just Nails 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Nu Pi Lambda 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Wet My Beak 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Halfway to Nowhere 6.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Over Attracted 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ready Jet Go 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fulton Market 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 She’s Resilient 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Vulin 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Midnight Silence 2.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Princess Tenko 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Mimsy 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Shambala Girl 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Fast Investment 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Billy Gallivan 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Tapit Rocks 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Boginskaya 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Doozy 8.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Dorine’s Wild Cat 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.