Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 1, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Makayla 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Alcom’soutinthwash 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Castleton 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Key Stroke 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Spirit O’Tipperary 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Rejoicing for Katz 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Getonit 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crimson Nights 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rookie Court 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Krypto Gains 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Crumlin Beast 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Bridge to Nowhere 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Bellaspina 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Classic Glory 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Mucho Misstique 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Anarchy 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Threefiftyseven 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Cerebro 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Souped Up 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Souper Rush 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Grand Alliance 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lake Shore Drive 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Half to Reload 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Classy Boy 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Gus’s Gamble 20.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Quiet Speed 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Lucys Child 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Unexpected Outcome (IRE) 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Snookered 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Smart Coverage 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mendeljohn (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Emerald Lake 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Little Fire 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Cedar Valley 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Gormley Girl 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Nadiabizniz 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Phil in Echo 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Absolute Jewel 10.00 5 10-1
8 8 Katchy Name 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Witwatersrand 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Victory Girl 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 A Little Frisky 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Inudation 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Dazzling Move 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Hot Dance 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Inittowinit 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mason’s Music 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Brief 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 High Treason 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Forever Danish 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Daddy’s Legacy 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Danzigqueen 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Barefoot Servantu 4.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Take Chances 3.50 5.9 11-1
8 8 Ravello Beauty 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Moet Monet 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.