Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 North East Star (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Irish Rose 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Bolt’s Broad 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sakura Flavor (IRE) 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Night Blue (IRE) 5.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 My Moon 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Lunar Impact (GB) 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Star of The Night (IRE) 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Thirty Carats 6.00 8.7 17-1
7 7 Best Year Ever 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Carpe Bellum 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Clooney 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Sippin N Kissin 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Group Hug 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Frost Alert 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 All the King’s Men 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Reign Over Me 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Spiritist 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Smiling At Val 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Take Charge Curly 20.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Tiz Tok 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Wine Me Up 0 0-1
4 4 Wine Me Up 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Beneficial 2.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Final Boss 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 D’ Oro Dash 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Zombo Bombo 15.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Mr Fabricator 10.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Mc Vay 15.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Stay Hot 6.00 9.2 17-1
7 7 Arthur 15.00 9.8 19-1
5 5 Maximum Capacity 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Petesoldfashioned 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Red On Sunday 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Uncle Chilly 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Mischiefs Causeway 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Freight Train Baby 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Takes Three 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Mr Big Bucks 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Son of a Goat 15.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Nestucka 15.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Stolen Treasure 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mr. Chivas 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Special Club 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Capo Luigi 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Potito 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Talklessworkmore 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Donner Lake 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 Fore Flag 8.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 California Bay 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Boss Sully 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Worse Read Sanchez 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Uncle John 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Developing the Way 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Chicknfingerfriday 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Star Prospect 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Bravestone 20.00 7.4 14-1
12 98 My Ransom 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Giver Not a Taker 6.00 1 2-1
10 9 The Key Is Unity 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Hot Rod Rumble 15.00 2.7 5-1
11 10 Almost Snow 20.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Navy Man 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Dr. Venkman 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Finneus 10.00 3.4 6-1
12 11 Slim Man 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 C’Mon Man 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Coppermaster 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Divine Armor 6.00 SCRATCH
6 98 Princip 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Del Mar Mile S.) – Del Mar Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Exaulted 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Count Again 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Du Jour 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Visitant 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Balnikhov (IRE) 6.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Twist (FR) 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Irideo (ARG) 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 I’m A Gambler (IRE) 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Sumter 15.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 War At Sea 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Torrey Pines S.) – Torrey Pines S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ceiling Crusher 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Coffee in Bed 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Anywho 5.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Pink Ace 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Ocean Club 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Flying Connection 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Justique 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Infinite Diamond 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Faiza 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Olivia Twist 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Green Flash H.) – Green Flash H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Motorious (GB) 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Beer Can Man 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Turn On The Jets (IRE) 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Fast Buck 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Bran (FR) 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Lane Way 5.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Bus Buzz 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Kid Corleone 10.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Helladic 20.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Packs a Wahlop 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Cherubic Factor 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Silent Poet 30.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Noble Reflection 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Barristan The Bold (GB) 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mas Rapido (GB) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Fanduel Racing Pacific Classic S.) – Fanduel Racing Pacific Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Arabian Knight 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Geaux Rocket Ride 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Slow Down Andy 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Defunded 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Stilleto Boy 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Senor Buscador 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Skinner 10.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Piroli 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Tripoli 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Order and Law 30.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Katonah 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Del Mar H. Presented By The Japan Racing Association) – Del Mar H. Presented By The Japan Racing Association

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Nineeleventurbo 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Missed the Cut 6.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Cash Equity (FR) 15.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Offlee Naughty 5.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Win the Day 50.00 7 13-1
3 3 None Above the Law 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Azul Coast 8.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Cathkin Peak (IRE) 6.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Crosby Beach 15.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Planetario (BRZ) 4.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.