Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 California Tiger 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ghostly Act 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Hondo Crouch 1.80 3.3 6-1
8 8 Cribbage Board 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 El Rey Dorado 12.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 The Last One Perk 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 City of Angels 12.00 7 13-1
6 6 Information 12.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Seaboard 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Precocious Times 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Tiergarten 4.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Ruff Ride 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 In Your Face 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Corporal Violette (IRE) 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Dolly May (IRE) 5.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Shezmisbehaving 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Breakfast Ride 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Divine Armor 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 K P Kwest 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Celestial Moon 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Affable 3.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Mbagnick (CHI) 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Restrainedvengence 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Daddysruby 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Gentle (GB) 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Divinely Bolt 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Luminiferous 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Sell the Dream 5.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Carole Lombard 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Firsttimeinforever 12.00 7.7 14-1
7 7 With Love (GB) 15.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Tea N Conversation 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Strange Addiction 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Smiling Amy 10.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Just Is 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Chevy Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 No Can Quit 8.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Redaci 8.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Fursace 5.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Hollywood Rumor 4.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Lone Mountain Girl 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Inner Beauty (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 La Deuxieme Etoile 12.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Kiss My Kat 15.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Hennys Crazy Train 15.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Annie’s Song (IRE) 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Gypsy Lynn 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Teen Drama 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dancing Soul 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Canam Gal 30.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Rakassah (IRE) 5.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Lasting Love 12.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Over Attracted 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Shared Belief S.) – Shared Belief S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mr Fisk 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Henry Q 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Clouseau 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Smart Mo 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Low Expectations 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Tahoe Sunrise 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Don’t Ju Forget 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Issa Court 5.00 1.3 2-1
12 11 Golden Again 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 She’s a Bit Sassy 15.00 2.6 5-1
11 10 Cornelia Fort 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Song of Fire 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Sensible Move 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Queen of Pompeii 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 I Had That One Too 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Warrior’s Moon 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Court Snort 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 98 Abhita 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 She Is Romantic 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Spice 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Glo Glo 5.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Wildcat Rye’d 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Sugar Fish 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Girl of My Dreams 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Tap Your Dream 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Candy Aisle 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Don’t Bring Crazy 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Wicked Desire 20.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Elegant 1.60 SCRATCH
12 12 Pacific Rose 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Caesars Sportsbook Del Mar Derby) – Caesars Sportsbook Del Mar Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Conclude 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Reiquist 15.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 3.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Almendares (GB) 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Panic Alarm (IRE) 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Smart Code 12.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Ah Jeez 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Kid Azteca 30.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Justin’s Legacy 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 James Gang 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Big Hand 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Cathedral Light 4.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Goldensunrise 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Jimmy the Boot 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Sir Flatter 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 New York Dreams (GB) 10.00 6.5 12-1
13 13 Missed Call 5.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 What an Idea 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Elevado 5.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 D Coldest 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Relaxed Artist (IRE) 20.00 7.7 15-1
14 98 Golf Drama 0.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Littlebrotherjoey 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.