Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Weigh the Risks | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Appellate | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ice Cold | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Most of All | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Later Darling | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stents and Statins (GB) | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Justdeny | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sensing Flatter | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Progeny | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Philanthropy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ba Dee Yah | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Way to Be Marie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mim | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Follow the Fed | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bon Adieu | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Liberty | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marley’s Ghost | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Northway | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Embraceable Gal | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scherzer | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Fortuna | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Montauk Mystique | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Film Star | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Olympic Dreams | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Moore’s Law | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Saqeel | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | The Prince’s Spur | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leading Contender | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Implementation | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 3 | Certified Loverboy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rally Squirrel | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Beaver Hat | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Silver Dust | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnolia Midnight | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Durkin’s Call | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hammerin Aamer | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Invisible War | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hang Tight | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Sprinklehead | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Uncle Eddie | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Notafraidtocharge | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Khanate | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Man Woody | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cowes | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nano Man | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Piccata Prince | 2.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magic Beach | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sugar It’s Eli | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Attrayant | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Run Jalen Run | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mucho de La Mancha | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Happy Baytown | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | King Freud | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Three Point Strut | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Yaqui Valley | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Genetics | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snow Dance | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Extremely Gruntled | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Dean | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scalable | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nikitis | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alpine Princess | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Noriskit Nobiscuit | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Social Affair | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caitlinhergrtness | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Lord Flintshire | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empire Attraction | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Jarreau | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Born a Gambler | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Indian Mischief | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Harry Hood | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ski Patrol | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Addicted to You | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Watasha | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Achilles Heel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Memphis | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Provision | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dontmesswithtess | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2B | 13 | Fast Kimmie | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Except Temptation | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mouly | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Anileate | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Diamond Status | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Can’t Fool Me | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | River Tay (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Up Her Sleeve | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | Miscreant | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Kristy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Sister Nell | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Proud Foot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 15 | Yogi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 16 | Thestral | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | From Hello | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Spinaway S.) – Spinaway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ways and Means | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Lady Moscato | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Brightwork | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wonder Ride | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Hi | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alys Beach | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Moscato | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ways and Means | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Closing Act | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lemorian | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Sense | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Becky’s Joker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Lullaby | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rosy Tomorrows | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Addressable Market (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jet City Woman | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Belleshazza | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exotic Cat | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keep It Sexy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Solevo Spritz | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Better Justice | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dark Pool | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | So Are You | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Avalanche Is Comin | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Duke Girls | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lakeside Getaway | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tooshay | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.