Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dyna’s Flatter 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Princess O Denmark 15.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Under Budget 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Glenrosa 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Cozy Curlin Kitten 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Pennyjet 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Just On Time 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Be Like Leigh 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Few Regrets 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Sebadas 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Tachyon Speed 2.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Gunnawin 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Gavel Girl 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Humor Me Jim 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Wings From Above 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Velikiy 2.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Gav’s Dream Girl 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Strike the Pose 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Trick and Treat 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Battle Strike 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Beau Guest 10.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Causin’ Mayhem 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Spirit Animal 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 U S Army Corps 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Star Redemption 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Big Executive 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Astapovo 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sing Dixie 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Bartica 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Yorkville 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Four K Force 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Harper City 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Happy Fella 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Spanish Serenade 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Toronto Cup S. Presented By Crown Royal) – Toronto Cup S. Presented By Crown Royal

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lifetime of Chance 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Conman 2.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Love to Shop 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 British Artillery 10.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Eyes On the King 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Dream Jereem 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Sammy Stone 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Souper Blessing 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fanore (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Runaway Charlie 3.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Exude 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Over and Ollie 2.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Jim’s Hope 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 The New Maybe 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Vincenzino 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Roaring Forties 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Mason’s Gamble 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 There’s No Joe 3.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Told It All 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Silent Runner 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Proven Strategies 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Rockcrest 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Summer Snow 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hallanvaara 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Total Betty 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Thunderheavyrain 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Tara Luna 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Wahrer Schatz 2.00 3 6-1
2 2 Reins of Purple 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Jolene Jolene 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.