Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Red Surprise 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 This Candy Is Grand 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Dash Master Pop 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Gal With Authority 5.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Thystle Hille 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 One New Year Boy Fly 3.50 6.6 13-1
2 2 Wgslightwilliegirlup 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shez Going My Way 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Misstic Coronita 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Meaponte 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Interested Party 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 W Is the First Prize 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Rc Jones 11 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Apollitical Payoff 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bv Seleect Beach 1.80 3.5 7-1
6 6 Deutsch 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Evilheartedwoman 3.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Ts Perry Kool 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Special Dipper 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Rtm Belle 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Redneckerthanyou 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Savage 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Sir Deputy 10.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Big Pines Sandy 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Kenhedoit 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Grand Design 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Smart N Intuitive 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Leapin Ty Man 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Mahomes 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Late for Lunch 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Colorful Native 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quiet I’m Not 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 C’Mon Lucky 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Hanks Girl 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Tennessee Grace 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Sharp Rosa 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 R N B Baby 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Slushy 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Aunt Nadine 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Javistha 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Dixie Penny 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Carry On 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sweet Laura 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Little Rocker 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Glamorous Life 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Stroller Boy 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jupiter Mission 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Tee Off Time 2.00 5 9-1
5 5 Blitzed in Bee Six 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Gunpowder n’ Lead 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Oxford Outing 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Markson 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Kickin’ Charlie 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Strollin Norman B 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Minecraft Maniac 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Finish Up 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Sir Wally Wally 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Rockin the Dad Bod 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Warrior’s Run 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Running Alex’sband 3.50 6 11-1
2 2 Woke Up in Love 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Herzen 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Revenir 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Koselio 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Mapache G 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 A. K. Safari 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Price to Pay 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Ginger Rules 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Optimistic Valor 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.