Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 7, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Silent Ghost 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Freret 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Airy Fairy 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Fresh Dreams 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Miss Bobbit 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Stormy Suzie 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 War Vow 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mountain Sound 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Momascrest 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Fancy Phyllis 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Queen Sahara 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Classicalcrossover 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Silent Tribute 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Snow Lake 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Highland Society 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Chelsea Dagger 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Upstart Gentleman 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Commander Tom 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Swath 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Executive Giant 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Fifth Season 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sweet Nola 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Turf and Surf 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Sharp Aza Rainbow 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 I’m Exceptional 6.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Meritamen 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Lady in Red 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Moon Pool 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Smarty Illusion 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Manitoulin Island 15.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Its a Birdie 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Tenpenny Nail 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Loaded Vixen 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Speedy Lynn 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Endorphin Rush 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Make No Mistake 15.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Bodacious Miss 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Lady Maeve (IRE) 2.50 6.9 13-1
2 2 Lois Len 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Oheavens 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Tempereya 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Pino in a Purse 8.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Northern Ruby 12.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Hit and Run 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Simple Souvenir 2.50 5.6 11-1
7 7 Halo Style 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Halfinthewrapper 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jill 4.00 1.9 3-1
3 3 Above Par 1.80 1.9 4-1
4 4 Ima Beast 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Ishiyaya 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Loaded Question 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
T’pring 0 0-1
8 8 Fedaline 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Danish Dynamite 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Drowningnchocolate 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Hard Rock Warrior 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 T’pring 8.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Telltale 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Fraulein Victoria 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Sixtofive 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Pola Star 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.