Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Top Gun Tommy 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Doo Wop Don 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Scary Fast Smile 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Economical 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sol Del Sur 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 J T’s Watch 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Feisty Mitole 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Avoir 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 O Mandy 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Soho 5.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Respect the Crown 8.00 7 13-1
3 3 Chi Chi 8.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Visually 8.00 7.5 14-1
11 10 Petit Filet 8.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Lady Lithesome 8.00 8 15-1
4 4 Indian Dreamer 20.00 8.7 16-1
13 12 Ifuaintfirsturlast 20.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Dreaming of Hope 0.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Blue Fashion 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Havoc 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Thirsty Thursday 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Thirsty Moe 30.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Suzzie’s Darlin 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Gantry 4.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Uncle Juju 5.00 6 11-1
5 5 Kiss for Lulu 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Mischievous Dylan 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Sunday Sun 8.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Topstitch 12.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Wicked Facts 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Halo Uncle 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Meesh 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Stamp My Passport 2.50 3 6-1
8 8 Dont Fight the Fed 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Fly the Sky 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Love Candy 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Nauvoo 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Andy Can U Hear Me 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Mystic Flyer 6.00 7 13-1
9 9 My Ransom 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bajan Bashert 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Candy On Top 3.50 2.6 5-1
12 12 Warren’s Paradice 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Jessebear 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Warrior Lady 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Rosie Ann Rules 12.00 5 10-1
1 1 Sand to Sea 4.00 9 17-1
7 7 Illhaveanotherkiss 10.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Moroccan Queen 15.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Hey Demps 6.00 10.3 19-1
6 6 Hot Thirst Trap 12.00 10.6 20-1
13 13 Kaylas Joy 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Work N Flirt 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Yvett’s Surprise 12.00 SCRATCH
15 98 The Music We Make 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (I’m Smokin S.) – I’m Smokin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lord Prancealot 2.00 1 2-1
7 6 Dr. No No 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Last Call London 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 5 Mici’s Express 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Smokem Ez 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Shady Appeal 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 98 Tiger in My Tank 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Roscoe Village 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Pink Whitney 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 Zona Verde (IRE) 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Stormy Gal 30.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Miss Mandalay (GB) 4.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Ms Limoncello 6.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Impec (IRE) 12.00 10 19-1
9 9 Willa T 8.00 10.1 19-1
7 7 Avana 8.00 10.3 19-1
6 6 Amelia Bleu 20.00 10.4 20-1
14 14 Poppy’s Joy 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cailin Dana 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Auratium 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Eleven Out of Ten 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Danzing Cat 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Big Novel 4.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Diamonds Danzing 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Cholly 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Flame McGoon 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Madiha 8.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Lady Maryann 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Bold Choice 12.00 9 17-1
11 11 Wishtheyallcouldbe 12.00 9.6 18-1
2 2 Shanghai Sunrise 15.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 I’m a Risque Girl 6.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.