Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Saloon 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bobby Ride 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Sway’sinmydna 1.80 2.2 4-1
5 5 Disputed Notion 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 He Rolls 30.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Prins Fire 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Neutral 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Pacific Front 0 0-1
9 9 First to Arrive 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Victory Badge 5.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Shocking Facts 30.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Sharmin 30.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Twirl the Flag 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Monticello 2.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Pacific Front 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Tales to Tell 4.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Viennese Waltz 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Velvet Ghost 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Paradise Pride 1.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Galatians 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Never Change 2.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Sicilia Mike 5.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Up Against It 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hot N Spicy Love 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gunslinger (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 American Unity 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Battalion 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Johng 20.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Imagine It All 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Power Back 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Bonded 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sir Terre 6.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Fermat 30.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Neverfold 30.00 9 17-1
2 2 Papal Law 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Gliding Afleet 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cool Quartet 0 0-1
5 5 Semper Fi 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bob Marco 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Higher Quality 2.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Cool Quartet 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Dixie Drawl 15.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Uncaptured Storm 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Phra Phrom 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Boss Man J J 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Kobe Tough 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Upsidedown Man 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Zip Line to Heaven 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Fun Notion 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Freeze the Fire 5.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Tall Order 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Tidewater 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Seven’s Eleven 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Take Charge Too 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Arden’sluckytobe 50.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Goodafternoonoscar 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Order Ofthe Kettle 1.80 2.7 5-1
6 6 Duckpins 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Oneofthegoodguys 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 The Last Scip 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Carvellian Quest 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Golden Charm 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lady Banker 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 In Her Cups 20.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Tea Rose 15.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Lendhercredit 2.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 Catch the Kitten 12.00 1.9 3-1
11 11 Denim N Lace 20.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 P J’s Rider 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Bandonarun 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Lenamagnetta 30.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Dancinonthebeach 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.