Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Beau Soleil 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Asian Matriarch 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Super Enticing 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Ifuaintfirsturlast 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Dreaming of Hope 3.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Petite Ange 8.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Love Honor and Pay 6.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Little Lady Lou 10.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Sygrayem 8.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Miss Pixy Stix 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mango Moon 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Rose Girl 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Like No Other 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Queen P 12.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Barbera 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Blackened 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Tenacious Lady 3.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Sapadilla 15.00 10.2 19-1
3 3 Dove in Charge 12.00 10.6 20-1
11 11 Major Pryce 6.00 11.5 22-1
5 5 House of Targaryen 30.00 11.8 22-1
4 4 Ila Veiw Too 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sister Cousin 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Madison Rae 4.00 6 11-1
7 7 Lookatherglide 8.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Naida 3.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Tobacco Honey 6.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Envisioned 6.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Golden Classic 10.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Stop Digging 6.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Princess Belle 15.00 9 17-1
11 11 Another Megastar 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ebok’s Dream Girl 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Mirinda 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Bella Vienna 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lamporghini 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Slider 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 E J Won the Cup 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Utopian 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Divino 4.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Concord Bridge 8.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Ario 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Tejon Pass 8.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 White Mountain 8.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Dealers Special 12.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Lawless World 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.) – Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Tambo 6.00 1 2-1
7 6 Bossy Bruin Gal 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Angiolleta (IRE) 2.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 Flattery 4.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Loterie (IRE) 3.50 6.4 12-1
4 3 Double Bay (IRE) 8.00 7.4 14-1
11 10 Cailin Dana 6.00 7.7 15-1
8 7 Auratium 15.00 8.7 16-1
3 2 Poppy’s Joy 15.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Into Yellowstone 30.00 SCRATCH
2 98 Arctic Breeze 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Colt Fiction 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Paco’s Pico 6.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Wyfire 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Jalen Journey 3.50 4.2 8-1
12 12 Super Brady 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Patron d’Oro 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Rookie Mistake 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Oil Can Knight 5.00 5 9-1
11 11 Self Taught 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Chasing Fame 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Hooperdrivesthboat 20.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Mendez Mile 30.00 9 17-1
13 13 Quick Finish 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (John C. Mabee S.) – John C. Mabee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Closing Remarks 0 0-1
4 4 Closing Remarks 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Turnerloose 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Neige Blanche (FR) 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Oakhurst 4.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Paris Peacock (IRE) 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Free and Humble 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Midnight Fury 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Devil Moon 6.00 1.5 3-1
12 11 Father Delay 5.00 2.3 4-1
11 10 Worth Looking 15.00 2.3 4-1
13 12 Houndstooth 3.50 2.7 5-1
10 9 The Bullion Bomber (IRE) 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Stan From Malibu 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Storm the Night 5.00 4 7-1
9 8 Papa Tiger 30.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Trusty Rusty 30.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Imperial Hornet 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 98 Mars On Fire 0.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Mr. Disrespectful 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Aligato 4.00 1 2-1
13 12 Lure Him In 6.00 2.1 4-1
12 11 Eastern Ocean 5.00 2.4 5-1
11 10 Bear Mountain 30.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Seal Team (GB) 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Seven Wonders 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Dominant Soul 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Dancing Rinca 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Yogi Boy 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Hakkimi (CHI) 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 9 Wodeton (FR) 15.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Blue Dog 20.00 SCRATCH
5 98 Baj 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Fanduel Racing Del Mar Debutante S.) – Fanduel Racing Del Mar Debutante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pushiness 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Benedetta 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Hope Road 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Tamara 3.50 6.5 12-1
6 6 Chatalas 5.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Julias Dream 5.00 9.3 18-1
14 14 Cheeky Gal 30.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Gate to Paradise 20.00 10.4 20-1
13 13 Laurent 6.00 11 21-1
10 10 Where’s My Ring 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Next Right Thing 30.00 11.7 22-1
3 3 Pretty Layla 30.00 11.7 22-1
11 11 Motet 50.00 12.4 24-1
7 7 Dreamfyre 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Spycatcher 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Dandy Man Shines (IRE) 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Calm Sea 6.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Aaron 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Tokamak 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Autoline (IRE) 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 My Partner Glen 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Sea of Cortez (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bigofromfresno 20.00 11.5 22-1
12 12 Bring Him Home 30.00 11.6 22-1
7 7 Pop Pop’s Ride 30.00 13.6 26-1
15 15 Lahaina Flavor 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Chay’s Tornado 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bye Bye Ray 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Uncle Oscar 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Chrome to Riches 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.