Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Perfect Peace 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Not as Lucky as Us 1.60 1.2 2-1
2 2 Step Ahead 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Great Call 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Band Tour 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Iceteca 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 King Joey 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Let Freedom Spring 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mocephus 12.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Island d’Lite 1.80 3.1 6-1
1 1 Superstitieux 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Pressing Concern 10.00 5 10-1
3 3 Captain Cardo 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sweet Shugs 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Yooou Know 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Tritone Gal 20.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Black Diamond Rain 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Ginger Girl 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Bitty Boss 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Matty Bo 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ride the Rapids 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Stormin’ Amanda 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Cora’s Choice 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Jane Street 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Ellie Victorina 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Aztec Bay 3.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Good Story 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sheriff Ronnie 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Energy Efficient 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Infinite Series 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Keen Lookin 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Austin From Boston 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Catching Stars 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Here Comes Rusty 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 To Live Is to Love 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Money’s Worth 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Angel Art 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Poggibonsi 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Hitch a Ride 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Little Josie Wales 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Peace Out 30.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Police Woman 30.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Cut From Class 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Deeds of Love 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dulce Kiara 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Summer Odds 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tam Char 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Shinelikeadiamond 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Run Raegan Run 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Genieinabridle 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Pirate Rick 2.50 1 2-1
7 8 Hello Hot Rod 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 John the Bear 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 7 Dontmesawithme 20.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Backnthewoods 8.00 4.3 8-1
1A 5 Kadri 2.00 5.5 10-1
1 3 Borracho 2.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Dollarization 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 One Truth 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Meno 15.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Sustenance 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Lunar Dash 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Surprise Hello 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Rector 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Fire and Knives 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.