Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 10, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Calabrian Queen 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Yolo Calls 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Unkept Secret 15.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Electric Glide 4.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Copper Bo Ten 8.00 4 7-1
3 3 Twin Soul 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Exclusive Joni 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Dorine’s Wild Cat 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Jazzing Penny 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Safa 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ebok’s Dream Girl 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Beautiful Janet 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Only One America 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Signora Vittoria 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Asada Fries 4.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Bella Vienna 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Mirinda 3.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Easter Coming Back 15.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Another Megastar 20.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Annie Fox 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Miss Miche Lada 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Vagabond Shoes 15.00 1 2-1
12 11 Lone Scout 5.00 4 7-1
7 7 Battle Call 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Mega Moon 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Greenbow 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Derecho Dandy 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Goldeneye 5.00 5.1 10-1
11 10 Cardiff Crack 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Rich Gold 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Egomania 30.00 7.4 14-1
13 12 All the King’s Men 30.00 8.8 17-1
10 98 Limited Heatwave 0.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dual Threat 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ur in Trouble 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Rascality 3.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Nothing Like You 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Halone 2.50 6.7 13-1
3 3 Sandy Bottom 3.50 7.9 15-1
6 6 Pacific Rose 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Into Yellowstone 30.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Blissterinthesun 8.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Esprit Enchante 8.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Toulouse Detrac 20.00 10.1 19-1
12 12 Flynn’s Chance 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Arctic Breeze 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 We’ll Do It Live 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sharpazano 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lake Superior 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Rastaman Vibe 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Ngannou 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Formidable Man 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ambiguous 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 American Flyer 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Duccio 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Grogu 12.00 6 11-1
10 10 Long Jacket 15.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Ringtone 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ocala Kid 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ready to Storm 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Nesso’s Lastharrah 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tapatio Leo 0 0-1
4 4 Super Chief 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tapatio Leo 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Let’s Acclimate 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Windribbon 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Larry’s Legend 12.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Belly Up 5.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Quick Buck 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Gypsy Tears 20.00 6.4 12-1
14 14 Bag’s Gold 2.50 6.9 13-1
1 1 Seattle Breakout 20.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 Buck Owens 12.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Erebus 30.00 10.7 20-1
15 15 Tiger Dad 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Oubabe 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Roy Hobbs 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.) – Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Boltage 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Endlessly 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Sea Singer (IRE) 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Des Doigts 15.00 4 8-1
9 9 Bear River 30.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Glandford (GB) 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Andreadytorumble 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Lord Bullingdon 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Osage Creek 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Devil Be Me 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mastering 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Eastside Cool 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Two Rivers Over 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Ghazaaly 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Zimba Warrior 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Good Juju 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Mr. T’s Thirsty 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Charles Chrome 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bolden 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Mister Iceman 5.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Hot Box 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Daniel’s Magic 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Westward Look 12.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Cruzin Man 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Sawasdee 6.00 6 11-1
9 9 My Summer Dream 10.00 7 13-1
4 4 Barsabas 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Bolt Supremacy 30.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Granitiansevensix 20.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Nero Tulip (GB) 20.00 9.6 18-1
14 14 Golden Ale 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lansdowne (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Runhappy Del Mar Futurity) – Runhappy Del Mar Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Raging Torrent 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Prince of Monaco 0.40 1.3 3-1
3 3 Mirahmadi 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Rothschild 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Next Level 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Mary’s Boy Bolt 15.00 5 10-1
2 2 Valiant Knight 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quintecents 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 St Ignacio 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Bye Bye Ray 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Uncle Oscar 5.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Collect Dis Money 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Chrome to Riches 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Petcoff 3.50 5.7 11-1
10 10 Player B 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Lahaina Flavor 10.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Bolts Destiny 20.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Dazzlemesilver 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Zafiro Anejo 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.