Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 10, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Divine Magic 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Designer 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Brigid of Kildare 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Pamz Palace 30.00 3 6-1
7 7 Princess Street 2.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Tequila Tara 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Active 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Lorraine (FR) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zyramid 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Pyron 8.00 1.7 3-1
12 12 Highway Bound 12.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Tenax 30.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Fizbo 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Bourbon Currency 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tauber 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Casanova Kitten 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 So Street 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Valiant Vinny 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Deep Cover 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ladneedsahandler 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fainor’s Filets 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Peach Tea 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Classy Chick 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Enemynumbernine 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 T C Neigh 1.40 3.5 7-1
4 4 Go Sherry Go 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Hateful 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Crabs N Beer 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Northern Tick Tock 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Riccio 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Jardani 1.40 4.4 8-1
9 9 Contempt 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 What Does It Take 3.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 My Boy Paddy 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Beyond the Pale 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mint Game 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Sorolla 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Good Knight Nile 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Challedon S.) – Challedon S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Al Loves Josie 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Swill 1.80 1.3 2-1
1 1 Borracho 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Pirate Rick 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Onlygodcanjudgeme 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Martini Martin 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Storming Chrome 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Divining Stone 5.00 3 6-1
9 9 We Got Lucky 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Frog Prince 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Spunky Irishman 50.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Casamo 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Harness Creek 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Anaheim 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mackenzie’s Novva 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 A Thousand Idols 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cripple Creek 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Swing Sammy 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Affamato 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Putthepastbehind 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Irish Warlock 10.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 By Its Absence 5.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Disputed Claim 1.80 2.6 5-1
9 9 Federal Offense 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Hampden Lane 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Judy’s Army 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Bold Honor 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Strong Finish 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.) – Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sassy Beast 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Spicy Marg 8.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Whiskey and Rye 30.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Self Isolation 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Goin’ Good 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Can’t Buy Love 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sweet Temperament 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 All That Magic 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Shoshanah 50.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Daring Do 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Angel Art 50.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Alla Breve 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Polynesian S.) – Polynesian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zabracadabra 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Un Ojo 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Ournationonparade 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Be Better 1.40 4.4 8-1
1 1 Double Crown 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pretty Coast 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rent Free 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Eden’s Gigi 3.00 1.9 3-1
6 6 Kissedbyanangel 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Now I’m Here 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Cara in the City 15.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Brown Suga Babe 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.