Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 13, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Not a Trace 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Solemn Oath 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Creme Caramel 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Londonderry 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Bamboo Garden 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Advocate Harbor 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Tiz a Sharpie 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cookie Bank 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Charlize Chub 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Chance Occurrence 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Thearcherortheprey 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Cast Your Net 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Cocoa’s Vivian 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Lost in Thought 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jw’s Third Mischie 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Satchel de Ritches 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Diesel 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Hope for Gold 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Jarlian 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Top of the Mint 3.00 5 9-1
7 7 Dangnabbit 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Schnuer Will 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Matoula 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Mazal Eighteen 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Vanishing Faith 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Sweet Lilly Factum 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Crazy Serena 4.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Pearlbdancing 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Save Your Tears 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Jsk Lucky’s Pushpa 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 True Phenomenon 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Map of Life 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Overthebluesky 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Well Rested 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sweetest Moment 20.00 6.2 12-1
16 16 Tempted to Touch 4.50 6.4 12-1
11 11 Social Rebel 20.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 College Try 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 So Steady 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Thendara’s Lost 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cee Minus 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Mamma Mia Esterina 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ayeartoremember 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Include the Munny 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Scintillating Star 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 So Softly 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Road to Dreams 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Johnnyslittlegirl 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Sirenetta 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Princess Emma Jo 6.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Frieder Fanatic 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I’m Nervous Now 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dancing On My Own 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Runnin Redbird 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Rowsie Express 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Boss Like Beth 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Denali Rae 5.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Bossyness 6.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Shetalkstomuch 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rolls Royce Joyce 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Expect to Be Ready 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Valuable Breigh 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Sense a Million 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Powwa of Love 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Luli’s Dancer 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Purrfect Mistress 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Burano 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Our Uptown Girl 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Getaway Palace 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Fine Whining 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Girlfromouterspace 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Pachelbel 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Pageant Princess 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Carlotuk 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 On the Shortlist 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Genghis 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ron Don Scorese 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Jacohare 15.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Doctor Doom 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Caribbean (AUS) 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Senior Investment 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Indoctrinate 4.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 Hornbeam 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Hey Porter 8.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Silver Edge 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mega Charlie 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.